TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Zdenek Zahradka vs Jan Hendrych 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012117112––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zahradka to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Jan Hendrych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 72 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Zdenek Zahradka at 56.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 47–28 Jan Hendrych Jan Hendrych has won 28 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-28 in 75
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 19 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1360 vs Hendrych 1529
Hendrych
Wrong
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 40% vs Hendrych 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 30% vs Hendrych 70%
Hendrych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -3 · Hendrych +2
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.53 / Hendrych 2.38
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Zahradka)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13194071
Zahradka1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 102 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it84% 43 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it70% 70 of 100
Hendrych2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 54 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka7wins
AwayHendrych3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka80%4 of 5
AwayHendrych40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka5Hendrych5n = 10split evenly
S2Zahradka5Hendrych5n = 10split evenly
S3Zahradka7Hendrych3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S4Zahradka5Hendrych1n = 6Zahradka took 5 of 6
S5Zahradka2Hendrych1n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaHendrychZ − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.134.2+3.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 817 vs 262 / 51649.1%50.8%401 / 817 vs 262 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.53/Hendrych 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka43101111113J. Hendrych30126661
WSep 14 · 14:50Z. Zahradka484101112113J. Hendrych44111241072
LSep 10 · 16:50Z. Zahradka4514581172J. Hendrych501211115113
LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka214890J. Hendrych331111113
WAug 20 · 14:20Z. Zahradka3911611113J. Hendrych32711771
WAug 7 · 17:54Z. Zahradka331111113J. Hendrych207580
LAug 7 · 15:50Z. Zahradka337115101J. Hendrych4211811123
WJul 24 · 16:50Z. Zahradka361114113J. Hendrych2361250
WJul 10 · 18:30Z. Zahradka331111113J. Hendrych257990
WJul 10 · 16:55Z. Zahradka501071111113J. Hendrych4312116682
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 25 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.3813118101P. Moravec1.5315911123LSep 25 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.50131191142D. Sochor2.50156116113LSep 24 · 17:55M. Dvorak1.851211113Z. Zahradka1.8510730WSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661WSep 24 · 15:20Z. Zahradka3.001111113P. Moravec1.369480LSep 24 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.8311591682M. Dvorak1.832111114113LSep 16 · 17:19Z. Zahradka1.73712561D. Tichy2.00111011113WSep 16 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.201111113D. Tichy1.613670LSep 16 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.0081215842J. Dvorak1.7311101311113LSep 16 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.83118891M. Dvorak1.8391111113
J. Hendrych10
WSep 25 · 15:50D. Sochor1.91112951J. Hendrych1.8081111113WSep 25 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.831311113P. Moravec1.8311780LSep 24 · 17:24J. Hendrych2.208890P. Moravec1.611111113LSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661LSep 24 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.911111113J. Hendrych1.802530WSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.731191511113P. Moravec2.0081117662WSep 17 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.674111115113M. Sochor2.10118131342WSep 17 · 16:20D. Sykora1.83116761J. Hendrych1.8391111113WSep 17 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00612661J. Hendrych1.73111011113WSep 17 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.0011911113M. Sochor1.73611791
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