TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Hendrych vs Petr Moravec 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Petr Moravec
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Petr Moravec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 15–11 Petr Moravec Petr Moravec has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hendrych beat Moravec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.20 / Moravec 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Moravec)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13190745
Hendrych2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 54 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back26% 16 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Moravec1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 43 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych6wins
AwayMoravec4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych80%4 of 5
AwayMoravec60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych5Moravec5n = 10split evenly
S2Hendrych5Moravec5n = 10split evenly
S3Hendrych4Moravec6n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych7Moravec3n = 10Hendrych took 7 of 10
S5Hendrych3Moravec2n = 5Hendrych took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychMoravecH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.042.5+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 515 vs 110 / 22050.9%50%262 / 515 vs 110 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecHendrych 2.20/Moravec 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych571191511113P. Moravec4881117662
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych36811981P. Moravec4211911113
WSep 8 · 16:50J. Hendrych4011117113P. Moravec29871131
LAug 20 · 17:55J. Hendrych3351121232P. Moravec491161110113
WAug 20 · 15:20J. Hendrych551081211143P. Moravec531211108122
WAug 17 · 15:25J. Hendrych4271111133P. Moravec391198111
LAug 11 · 15:25J. Hendrych391171291P. Moravec4371114113
WAug 3 · 18:28J. Hendrych4411913113P. Moravec388111181
LAug 3 · 17:25J. Hendrych47107111182P. Moravec48121195113
WJul 27 · 15:50J. Hendrych47111186113P. Moravec3642111182
J. Hendrych10
LSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661LSep 24 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.911111113J. Hendrych1.802530WSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.731191511113P. Moravec2.0081117662WSep 17 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.674111115113M. Sochor2.10118131342WSep 17 · 16:20D. Sykora1.83116761J. Hendrych1.8391111113WSep 17 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00612661J. Hendrych1.73111011113WSep 17 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.0011911113M. Sochor1.73611791LSep 14 · 17:20J. Hendrych1.60118891D. Sochor2.2071111113LSep 14 · 16:20D. Sykora1.8381111113J. Hendrych1.83118871WSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113
P. Moravec10
LSep 24 · 16:50P. Moravec1.6711812752M. Dvorak2.108111011113LSep 24 · 15:20Z. Zahradka3.001111113P. Moravec1.369480LSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.731191511113P. Moravec2.0081117662LSep 17 · 10:08A. Langer1.911111113P. Moravec1.804880LSep 17 · 08:55A. Langer1.671311811113P. Moravec2.1015711752WSep 17 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.73711891P. Moravec2.0011711113LSep 17 · 07:25P. Moravec2.50211751A. Rek1.5011711113LSep 16 · 09:59J. Vonasek1.53971111113P. Moravec2.3811116432LSep 16 · 08:55J. Vonasek1.57101211113P. Moravec2.251210661LSep 16 · 08:25A. Rek1.5711811113P. Moravec2.25711581
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