TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr vs Lukas Krupnik Snr 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111171012118411
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Jnr to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Jnr above · Lukas Krupnik Snr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 93 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr at 70.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr 4–1 Lukas Krupnik Snr Lukas Krupnik Snr has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Jnr
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1385 vs Snr 1314
Jnr
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 60% vs Snr 40%
Jnr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 60% vs Snr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +2 · Snr -3
Snr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.36 / Snr 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Jnr)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13191846
Jnr1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it67% 31 of 46
Snr3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 21 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJnr4wins
AwaySnr1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJnr leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr75%3 of 4
AwaySnrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr4Snr1n = 5Jnr took 4 of 5
S2Jnr4Snr1n = 5Jnr took 4 of 5
S3Jnr3Snr2n = 5Jnr took 3 of 5
S4Jnr3Snr0n = 3Jnr took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJnrSnrJ − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.029.0+11.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 273 vs 64 / 14152.8%45.4%144 / 273 vs 64 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.36/Snr 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 18 · 10:40J. Jnr45121111113L. Snr31146561
WAug 14 · 13:10J. Jnr351113113L. Snr2271140
WAug 14 · 10:10J. Jnr331111113L. Snr236980
LJun 29 · 12:40J. Jnr46119101152L. Snr49911126113
WJun 29 · 11:15J. Jnr4111118113L. Snr20321141
J. Jnr10
WSep 25 · 09:40J. Jnr1.361111113Z. Chovancik3.006850WSep 19 · 16:36J. Jnr1.361111113P. Sturma3.007880LSep 19 · 15:40I. Jemelka1.91111198113J. Jnr1.8059111192LSep 19 · 15:10P. Chvojka1.91971111113J. Jnr1.8011117852WSep 19 · 14:10J. Jnr2.2071411113P. Sturma1.611112891WSep 19 · 13:10J. Jnr2.087111111113J. Sindler1.5911981392WSep 19 · 11:40J. Sindler1.53117991J. Jnr2.3881111113WSep 19 · 11:10F. Mandrysz2.6381481262J. Jnr1.4411121110113LSep 19 · 10:10J. Jnr2.00119131182P. Sturma1.73611155113LSep 18 · 16:40J. Jnr1.4412115942D. Muller2.411061111113
L. Snr10
LSep 25 · 10:10P. Sturma1.731111113L. Snr2.007480LSep 22 · 08:43L. Snr1.8381090J. Sevecek1.831112113LSep 22 · 08:10J. Matus1.3311911113L. Snr3.25411481WSep 22 · 07:10L. Snr2.2091111113J. Sevecek1.61115961WSep 22 · 05:40A. Strelec1.5311691182L. Snr2.38711113113WSep 18 · 12:40L. Snr1.2512117113Z. Chovancik3.751081161LSep 18 · 12:10L. Snr1.80117841P. Sturma1.9181111113LSep 18 · 10:40J. Jnr1.40121111113L. Snr2.75146561WSep 18 · 10:10Z. Chovancik2.507570L. Snr1.501111113WSep 16 · 08:50L. Snr1.571111113L. Zustina2.253770
Upcoming Matches
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L. Snr
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