TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matej Grundel vs Michal Cabis 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Matej Grundel
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10129111311113117
Michal Cabis
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingMatej Grundel above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7
98 points played in total.
H2H Matej Grundel 12–11 Michal Cabis Michal Cabis has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Grundel beat Cabis 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Grundel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrundel 1.57 / Cabis 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Grundel)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13190650
Grundel1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 58 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 39 of 53
Cabis2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 63 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrundel6wins
AwayCabis4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGrundel leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrundel62.5%5 of 8
AwayCabisn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grundel8Cabis2n = 10Grundel took 8 of 10
S2Grundel1Cabis9n = 10Cabis took 9 of 10
S3Grundel4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S4Grundel7Cabis3n = 10Grundel took 7 of 10
S5Grundel4Cabis2n = 6Grundel took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrundelCabisG − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.045.8−0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrundelCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 330 vs 369 / 71452.1%51.7%172 / 330 vs 369 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrundelGrundel 1.57/Cabis 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Grundel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grundel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 16:30M. Grundel6211101115153M. Cabis56812617132
WMay 13 · 17:29M. Grundel4311138113M. Cabis365111191
LMay 13 · 14:00M. Grundel36118981M. Cabis4181111113
WMay 8 · 11:00M. Grundel541181311113M. Cabis5391115992
LApr 3 · 15:00M. Grundel29114681M. Cabis4291111113
LMar 25 · 18:28M. Grundel45106111172M. Cabis49121178113
LMar 25 · 16:30M. Grundel4111561182M. Cabis49811118113
WMar 23 · 17:58M. Grundel48126811113M. Cabis41101111182
WMar 23 · 16:30M. Grundel4716614113M. Cabis4614111291
WMar 15 · 14:30M. Grundel45751111113M. Cabis4511118872
M. Grundel10
WSep 24 · 16:30M. Cabis1.83812617132M. Grundel1.8311101115153WSep 24 · 15:30M. Grundel1.67137911133D. Tomica2.101111115112LSep 24 · 14:30J. Pilch1.7311311113M. Grundel2.00411591LSep 21 · 17:03M. Grundel1.573890D. Ondryas2.251111113LSep 21 · 16:30M. Grundel1.53111011992D. Ondryas2.38812611113LSep 21 · 15:00M. Grundel2.00691181T. Zika1.7311119113WSep 21 · 14:00J. Pilch1.73117791M. Grundel2.0081111113LSep 20 · 17:00J. Pilch1.911111113M. Grundel1.804990WSep 20 · 16:30M. Navedla2.0011981382M. Grundel1.739111111113LSep 20 · 15:30M. Grundel2.2571450T. Dousek1.571116113
M. Cabis10
LSep 24 · 16:30M. Cabis1.83812617132M. Grundel1.8311101115153LSep 24 · 15:00M. Cabis1.91611571J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 24 · 14:00D. Tomica1.7311111010113M. Cabis2.0097121272LSep 19 · 21:00M. Navedla1.601111119113M. Cabis2.1081391132LSep 19 · 20:00M. Vavrecka2.1011117113M. Cabis1.67981181LSep 19 · 19:00P. Wawrosz2.1013118113M. Cabis1.671191161LSep 19 · 18:30M. Cabis1.44116861M. Navedla2.6351111113WSep 19 · 17:00M. Cabis1.7381111123M. Navedla2.001117101LSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123LSep 19 · 15:30D. Tomica1.73941111113M. Cabis2.0011116692
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