TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Kvasnicka vs Tomas Kraninger 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411118119811119
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Kraninger to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Kvasnicka above · Tomas Kraninger below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Kraninger at 58.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radim Kvasnicka 1–2 Tomas Kraninger Radim Kvasnicka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kraninger
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvasnicka 1435 vs Kraninger 1365
Kvasnicka
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvasnicka 60% vs Kraninger 40%
Kvasnicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvasnicka 70% vs Kraninger 30%
Kvasnicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvasnicka +1 · Kraninger +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kraninger)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvasnicka 2.50 / Kraninger 1.50
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kraninger)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13189398
Kvasnicka2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 13 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Kraninger1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 25 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKvasnicka1wins
AwayKraninger2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKraninger leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKvasnickan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKraninger66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvasnicka0Kraninger3n = 3Kraninger took 3 of 3
S2Kvasnicka1Kraninger2n = 3Kraninger took 2 of 3
S3Kvasnicka1Kraninger2n = 3Kraninger took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricKvasnickaKraningerKvasnicka − KraningerBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match30.739.7−9.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvasnickaKraningerBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 119 vs 116 / 24454.6%47.5%65 / 119 vs 116 / 244Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraningerKvasnicka 2.50/Kraninger 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Kraninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 25 · 20:30R. Kvasnicka45411118113T. Kraninger4811891192
LMay 22 · 19:30R. Kvasnicka26123110T. Kraninger381411133
LNov 30 · 15:00R. Kvasnicka218580T. Kraninger331111113
R. Kvasnicka10
WSep 25 · 21:00R. Kvasnicka1.57811911113J. Peter2.2511911432WSep 25 · 19:00R. Kvasnicka1.53931111143J. Peter2.38111185122LSep 25 · 18:00M. Jasek1.571111113R. Kvasnicka2.256210WSep 19 · 21:30D. Mikula1.83137981R. Kvasnicka1.83111111113LSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Zientek2.382911101R. Kvasnicka1.5311119123WSep 19 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111175113A. Schneeberger2.5088111152WSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113WSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162LSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172
T. Kraninger10
WSep 25 · 21:30T. Kraninger1.501111113M. Jasek2.405580WSep 25 · 19:30T. Kraninger1.571111113M. Jasek2.259990WSep 25 · 18:30J. Peter2.25813127102T. Kraninger1.5711111011123LSep 20 · 17:10M. Kowolowski1.4041111113T. Kraninger2.75114581LSep 20 · 16:30V. Bosak1.361111117113T. Kraninger3.0061391182LSep 20 · 15:30T. Kraninger2.381110111172M. Koral1.53812913113LSep 20 · 14:30M. Kowolowski1.9161111113T. Kraninger1.80118951WSep 18 · 20:58M. Kolek2.004780T. Kraninger1.731111113LSep 18 · 20:30T. Kraninger1.57511751M. Kolek2.2511411113LSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113
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