TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Trefny vs Jaroslav Prokupek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jan Trefny
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012611––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeJan Trefny to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Trefny above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 61 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jan Trefny at 59.8%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jan Trefny 4–2 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Trefny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Trefny
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trefny 1579 vs Prokupek 1435
Trefny
Wrong
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trefny 60% vs Prokupek 40%
Trefny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trefny 60% vs Prokupek 40%
Trefny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trefny +1 · Prokupek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Trefny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrefny 1.67 / Prokupek 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Trefny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178959
Trefny1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 28 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Prokupek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 92 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTrefny4wins
AwayProkupek2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderTrefny leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrefny66.7%2 of 3
AwayProkupek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trefny3Prokupek3n = 6split evenly
S2Trefny3Prokupek3n = 6split evenly
S3Trefny4Prokupek2n = 6Trefny took 4 of 6
S4Trefny2Prokupek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricTrefnyProkupekT − PBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.035.7−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrefnyProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 128 vs 670 / 140551.6%47.7%66 / 128 vs 670 / 1405Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnyTrefny 1.67/Prokupek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Trefny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny4011411143J. Prokupek399117121
LSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny197930J. Prokupek331111113
LSep 6 · 19:00J. Trefny29117741J. Prokupek4181111113
WSep 4 · 24:30J. Trefny331111113J. Prokupek238960
WAug 25 · 23:00J. Trefny3951111123J. Prokupek351186101
WAug 18 · 08:30J. Trefny50712119113J. Prokupek43111061152
J. Trefny10
WSep 24 · 03:00J. Trefny1.731111153P. Klusacek2.0076130WSep 24 · 01:30J. Dedek2.5051191172J. Trefny1.50119117113LSep 24 · 24:00J. Trefny1.57129111192P. Klusacek2.251011213113WSep 23 · 23:00K. Darin2.6311119432J. Trefny1.44491111113LSep 23 · 17:00V. Cermak1.501111113J. Trefny2.505430WSep 23 · 16:00J. Trefny1.9111114113M. Sobisek1.80671181LSep 23 · 15:30D. Tuma1.73101111113J. Trefny2.00128671LSep 23 · 14:00J. Trefny1.851420V. Cermak1.851111113WSep 20 · 03:29J. Trefny2.251111113D. Kouble1.578950WSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121
J. Prokupek10
WSep 24 · 01:00P. Klusacek1.9186140J. Prokupek1.801111163WSep 23 · 23:30J. Prokupek1.9111911113J. Dedek1.80911651LSep 23 · 12:59M. Vedmoch1.73641111123J. Prokupek2.00111137102LSep 23 · 12:00J. Prokupek2.004119121M. Vedmoch1.7311411143LSep 23 · 11:30J. Plachy1.8311114113J. Prokupek1.83981141LSep 23 · 10:00J. Prokupek1.57261121K. Darin2.2511117113WSep 21 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.5711117113L. Krok2.25671151LSep 21 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.5761151162L. Krok2.25118119113WSep 21 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.83811911113T. Dousa1.8311511372LSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121
Upcoming Matches
J. Trefny
Nothing scheduled
J. Prokupek
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