TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Trefny vs Patrik Klusacek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jan Trefny
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171161513––––
Patrik Klusacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:58 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timePatrik Klusacek to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Trefny above · Patrik Klusacek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 63 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Patrik Klusacek at 55.6%
63 points played in total.
H2H Jan Trefny 1–1 Patrik Klusacek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Klusacek beat Trefny 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Trefny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Trefny 1565 vs Klusacek 1567
Klusacek
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trefny 40% vs Klusacek 60%
Klusacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trefny 50% vs Klusacek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trefny -1 · Klusacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trefny) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trefny form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrefny 1.73 / Klusacek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trefny)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13187472
Trefny1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 28 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Klusacek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTrefny1wins
AwayKlusacek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTrefnyKlusacekT − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.536.5+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrefnyKlusacekBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 130 vs 14 / 2351.5%60.9%67 / 130 vs 14 / 23Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnyTrefny 1.73/Klusacek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Trefny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Trefny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 24 · 03:00J. Trefny371111153P. Klusacek2676130
LSep 24 · 24:00J. Trefny52129111192P. Klusacek471011213113
J. Trefny10
LSep 24 · 02:30J. Trefny1.67101060J. Prokupek2.101212113WSep 24 · 01:30J. Dedek2.5051191172J. Trefny1.50119117113LSep 24 · 24:00J. Trefny1.57129111192P. Klusacek2.251011213113WSep 23 · 23:00K. Darin2.6311119432J. Trefny1.44491111113LSep 23 · 17:00V. Cermak1.501111113J. Trefny2.505430WSep 23 · 16:00J. Trefny1.9111114113M. Sobisek1.80671181LSep 23 · 15:30D. Tuma1.73101111113J. Trefny2.00128671LSep 23 · 14:00J. Trefny1.851420V. Cermak1.851111113WSep 20 · 03:29J. Trefny2.251111113D. Kouble1.578950WSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121
P. Klusacek10
WSep 24 · 02:00P. Klusacek1.801111124123K. Darin1.918131011102LSep 24 · 01:00P. Klusacek1.9186140J. Prokupek1.801111163WSep 24 · 24:00J. Trefny1.57129111192P. Klusacek2.251011213113LSep 23 · 22:30J. Dedek1.83111433113P. Klusacek1.83912111172WSep 23 · 20:58T. Dousa1.673840P. Klusacek2.101111113LSep 23 · 20:00P. Klusacek1.83711391T. Dousa1.8311811113LSep 23 · 19:30P. Fojt1.831211113P. Klusacek1.8310730WSep 23 · 18:00P. Klusacek1.8371111113Y. Holovatiuk1.83115391WSep 16 · 03:28P. Klusacek1.531311113J. Steffan2.3811560WSep 16 · 01:30P. Klusacek1.6111119113P. Picek2.20671191
Upcoming Matches
J. Trefny
Nothing scheduled
P. Klusacek
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