TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Leos Havrda vs Jiri Grohsgott 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111131177111412
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeLeos Havrda to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 94 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Leos Havrda at 62.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 41–48 Jiri Grohsgott Leos Havrda has won 41 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:25What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Havrda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-48 in 89
Grohsgott
Wrong
gap of 7 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1249 vs Grohsgott 1152
Havrda
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 40% vs Grohsgott 0%
Havrda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 50% vs Grohsgott 20%
Havrda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda +1 · Grohsgott -5
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Havrda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 1.57 / Grohsgott 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Havrda)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178917
Havrda1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Grohsgott2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 133 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavrda7wins
AwayGrohsgott3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHavrda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda71.4%5 of 7
AwayGrohsgott33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda7Grohsgott3n = 10Havrda took 7 of 10
S2Havrda8Grohsgott2n = 10Havrda took 8 of 10
S3Havrda7Grohsgott3n = 10Havrda took 7 of 10
S4Havrda3Grohsgott2n = 5Havrda took 3 of 5
S5Havrda1Grohsgott2n = 3Grohsgott took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavrdaGrohsgottH − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.232.2+6.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 487 vs 736 / 151546%48.6%224 / 487 vs 736 / 1515Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaHavrda 1.57/Grohsgott 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 02:00L. Havrda331111113J. Grohsgott216780
WSep 5 · 13:00L. Havrda331111113J. Grohsgott179530
WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda331111113J. Grohsgott208750
WAug 30 · 01:00L. Havrda331111113J. Grohsgott195860
LJul 1 · 01:00L. Havrda4691171272J. Grohsgott511181110113
WJun 29 · 09:00L. Havrda4391112113J. Grohsgott341181051
WJun 29 · 08:00L. Havrda351111133J. Grohsgott2779110
WJun 28 · 13:29L. Havrda47611811113J. Grohsgott4411511982
LJun 28 · 11:00L. Havrda4411911492J. Grohsgott49811811113
LJun 26 · 22:30L. Havrda35117891J. Grohsgott4071111113
L. Havrda10
WSep 23 · 15:00L. Havrda2.101111123M. Novotny1.6798100LSep 23 · 14:00M. Barta1.6711117113L. Havrda2.10971181LSep 20 · 02:59P. Berdych1.611111123L. Havrda2.2065100WSep 20 · 02:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.206780LSep 20 · 01:00L. Havrda2.2011115652M. Novotny1.61951111113WSep 20 · 24:00P. Berdych1.50613111172L. Havrda2.50111579113LSep 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan1.911111113L. Havrda1.807980WSep 15 · 17:10L. Havrda1.92812611113J. Svec1.78111011962LSep 15 · 16:00V. Stach1.831111113L. Havrda1.839990WSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 23 · 17:09M. Novotny1.4112118113J. Grohsgott2.551081171LSep 23 · 15:30J. Grohsgott2.3811115592M. Barta1.53671111113LSep 23 · 14:30M. Novotny1.401111113J. Grohsgott2.758990LSep 23 · 03:00J. Grohsgott2.254830P. Bruzek1.581111113LSep 23 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.73711119123J. Grohsgott2.00113611102LSep 23 · 24:30J. Grohsgott4.331115791J. Pleskot1.2091711113WSep 22 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.751111133P. Bruzek1.4079110LSep 22 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.5011116113J. Grohsgott2.50451181LSep 20 · 21:28J. Grohsgott1.83411851M. Lubas1.8311911113LSep 20 · 02:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.206780
Upcoming Matches
L. Havrda
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J. Grohsgott
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