TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Patrik Muller vs Antonin Skyba 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Patrik Muller
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1921117117117––
Antonin Skyba
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPatrik Muller above · Antonin Skyba below
Set 1 · 19-21
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 94 set 4, 11-7
94 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Muller 5–10 Antonin Skyba Patrik Muller has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Skyba beat Muller 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skyba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skyba form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 1.91 / Skyba 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skyba)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13176610
Muller1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Skyba1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it65% 15 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuller4wins
AwaySkyba6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkyba leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuller40%2 of 5
AwaySkyba60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller5Skyba5n = 10split evenly
S2Muller4Skyba6n = 10Skyba took 6 of 10
S3Muller6Skyba4n = 10Muller took 6 of 10
S4Muller4Skyba4n = 8split evenly
S5Muller2Skyba3n = 5Skyba took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMullerSkybaM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.942.3+0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerSkybaBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 162 vs 99 / 24244.4%40.9%72 / 162 vs 99 / 242Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkybaMuller 1.91/Skyba 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Muller won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 22 · 07:30P. Muller45101151182A. Skyba50127119113
WSep 21 · 07:30P. Muller48711117123A. Skyba47116911102
WSep 10 · 10:00P. Muller4211911113A. Skyba29811731
LApr 13 · 12:29P. Muller46111081162A. Skyba50912117113
LApr 13 · 10:00P. Muller419131181A. Skyba4511158113
LApr 6 · 12:29P. Muller4412581182A. Skyba511011118113
WApr 6 · 11:30P. Muller331111113A. Skyba217680
LFeb 16 · 13:32P. Muller34951191A. Skyba4211119113
WFeb 16 · 12:00P. Muller539121110113A. Skyba46111071262
P. Muller10
LSep 22 · 07:30A. Skyba1.83127119113P. Muller1.83101151182WSep 22 · 07:00P. Muller1.671071211143A. Akopyan2.101211107122LSep 22 · 06:00P. Muller1.575740J. Vrnak2.251111113LSep 21 · 08:58L. Krutina1.36119117113P. Muller3.0051161142WSep 21 · 07:30P. Muller1.91711117123A. Skyba1.80116911102LSep 21 · 06:30P. Muller2.75491281L. Krutina1.40111110113WSep 21 · 05:30P. Muller3.00911711133M. Holub1.36118115112LSep 18 · 08:44P. Muller1.4411118362J. Vrnak2.63851111113LSep 18 · 08:00P. Muller2.6313118932D. Sabuka1.441181111113LSep 18 · 06:30M. Holub1.4091111123P. Muller2.751174101
A. Skyba10
WSep 22 · 07:30A. Skyba1.83127119113P. Muller1.83101151182LSep 22 · 06:30A. Skyba1.5711101171J. Vrnak2.2571213113LSep 22 · 05:30A. Skyba1.501188111A. Akopyan2.5091111133LSep 21 · 08:28M. Holub1.338111111113A. Skyba3.2511913562LSep 21 · 07:30P. Muller1.91711117123A. Skyba1.80116911102LSep 21 · 07:00A. Skyba3.4011751142M. Holub1.30611118113WSep 21 · 06:00A. Skyba2.251115113L. Krutina1.5751390LSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681LSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113WSep 16 · 14:30A. Skyba1.831111113V. Coubal1.836390
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.