TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Krzysztof Hetnar 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Kamil Kowalski
Home
5.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711711––––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:45 and never touched — 83.7% is still 83.7%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
83.7%
83.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
411711711––––
H2H Kamil Kowalski 0–2 Krzysztof Hetnar Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (84%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1095 vs Hetnar 1421
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 326 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 60% vs Hetnar 40%
Kowalski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 40% vs Hetnar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski +1 · Hetnar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (40%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 5.45 / Hetnar 1.06
Signal prob.14% / 87%
Edge (Hetnar)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13174451
Kowalski5.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog17% won 23 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back6% 5 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 56
Hetnar1.06
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 273 of 398
Up 2–0, closes it98% 149 of 152
Up 1–0, closes it85% 220 of 258
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKowalski0wins
AwayHetnar2wins
Hetnar leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricKowalskiHetnarK − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match19.533.0−13.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 141 vs 722 / 118016.3%61.2%23 / 141 vs 722 / 1180Avg sets wonper match1.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarKowalski 5.45/Hetnar 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.5%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 12 · 13:30K. Kowalski186840K. Hetnar331111113
LAug 12 · 07:20K. Kowalski216960K. Hetnar331111113
K. Kowalski10
WSep 22 · 04:00R. Gajda1.2511914882K. Kowalski3.456111211113LSep 17 · 14:20K. Kowalski4.3313581182P. Gumulinski1.201111116113WSep 17 · 12:40P. Kurek1.2071111732K. Kowalski4.33116511113WSep 17 · 11:50L. Oracz1.221195111K. Kowalski4.0081111133LSep 17 · 11:00K. Kowalski3.251113111152W. Ptak1.33715139113LSep 17 · 09:50K. Kowalski3.25116321I. Szymanski1.3391111113LSep 17 · 08:10K. Kowalski5.5089111292P. Gumulinski1.131111510113LSep 17 · 06:30P. Kurek1.148111112113K. Kowalski5.0011871492LSep 17 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.281111113K. Kowalski3.505780WSep 17 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.7511611113W. Ptak1.25511781
K. Hetnar10
WSep 22 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz3.2069100K. Hetnar1.311111123WSep 22 · 03:10I. Szymanski4.35411111232K. Hetnar1.16119614113LSep 18 · 19:40K. Hetnar2.10111110692K. Durak1.67851211113WSep 18 · 18:30K. Hetnar1.1781211113I. Szymanski4.501110151LSep 18 · 17:20K. Hetnar1.5091090M. Baron2.501112113WSep 18 · 16:15L. Oracz2.006970K. Hetnar1.731111113LSep 18 · 15:25K. Hetnar1.25781181J. Kaczmarek3.7511119113LSep 18 · 13:55K. Hetnar1.83111111652L. Oracz1.83813911113WSep 18 · 12:40K. Hetnar1.44111211113W. Urban2.631310881LSep 18 · 11:25K. Hetnar1.836790S. Szostok1.831111113
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