TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kaganovych vs Viktor Sharpai 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11710121113811––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 57.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 7–14 Viktor Sharpai Vitalii Kaganovych has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-14 in 21
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1408 vs Sharpai 1419
Sharpai
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 40% vs Sharpai 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 30% vs Sharpai 50%
Sharpai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych -1 · Sharpai +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sharpai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 2.10 / Sharpai 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Sharpai)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13173134
Kaganovych2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 20 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Sharpai1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 58 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it71% 45 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych5wins
AwaySharpai5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovych60%3 of 5
AwaySharpai60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych5Sharpai5n = 10split evenly
S2Kaganovych5Sharpai5n = 10split evenly
S3Kaganovych5Sharpai5n = 10split evenly
S4Kaganovych3Sharpai3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychSharpaiK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.633.3+0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 554 vs 249 / 53461.2%46.6%339 / 554 vs 249 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiKaganovych 2.10/Sharpai 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 19:25V. Kaganovych4011101181V. Sharpai4371213113
LSep 21 · 13:05V. Kaganovych371111961V. Sharpai3813311113
LSep 14 · 16:05V. Kaganovych2371060V. Sharpai341112113
WSep 7 · 18:05V. Kaganovych4111811113V. Sharpai30411781
WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych3741111113V. Sharpai27115561
LAug 31 · 18:35V. Kaganovych33119671V. Sharpai3851111113
WAug 24 · 16:35V. Kaganovych4571114133V. Sharpai4111712111
WJul 31 · 17:25V. Kaganovych341111123V. Sharpai2697100
WJul 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych331111113V. Sharpai239590
LJul 14 · 17:55V. Kaganovych138230V. Sharpai331111113
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 22 · 17:55V. Kaganovych2.1011861262A. Yakovenko1.676111110113WSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych1.534780I. Yelfimov2.381111113WSep 22 · 13:25V. Kaganovych1.6711128113A. Lifanov2.106101191LSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882WSep 21 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.611210118113V. Slabyshev2.20101221192LSep 21 · 16:05A. Lifanov2.101111113V. Kaganovych1.679990LSep 21 · 14:05I. Yelfimov2.50711911113V. Kaganovych1.5011411892LSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961LSep 15 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.61511981F. Chashchin2.2011811113
V. Sharpai10
WSep 22 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.671111113V. Hainiuk2.109650LSep 22 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.91117561A. Lifanov1.8091111113LSep 22 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.7359111162A. Yakovenko2.00111197113LSep 22 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.8056120I. Yelfimov1.911111143WSep 21 · 18:35I. Yelfimov1.911151161V. Sharpai1.8013116113LSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113WSep 21 · 16:35V. Sharpai1.731111113V. Slabyshev2.009930LSep 21 · 15:05V. Sharpai1.8395111232A. Lifanov1.831111810113WSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961WSep 17 · 19:55A. Lifanov1.83791114112V. Sharpai1.831111312133
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