TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Myszewski vs Marcin Kowalczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711411––––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMarcin Kowalczyk to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
811711411––––
H2H Adrian Myszewski 3–0 Marcin Kowalczyk Marcin Kowalczyk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Myszewski beat Kowalczyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:20What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Myszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Myszewski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1350 vs Kowalczyk 1248
Myszewski
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 80% vs Kowalczyk 20%
Myszewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 60% vs Kowalczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski +3 · Kowalczyk +1
Myszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Myszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.60 / Kowalczyk 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Myszewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13172784
Myszewski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 67 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Kowalczyk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 144 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMyszewski3wins
AwayKowalczyk0wins
Myszewski leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski2Kowalczyk1n = 3Myszewski took 2 of 3
S2Myszewski3Kowalczyk0n = 3Myszewski took 3 of 3
S3Myszewski2Kowalczyk1n = 3Myszewski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMyszewskiKowalczykM − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.032.3+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 909 vs 741 / 150549%49.2%445 / 909 vs 741 / 1505Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MyszewskiMyszewski 1.60/Kowalczyk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Myszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 21 · 20:30A. Myszewski341111123M. Kowalczyk2367100
WAug 27 · 18:30A. Myszewski3611113113M. Kowalczyk33961171
WJan 15 · 17:25A. Myszewski50171111113M. Kowalczyk41199671
A. Myszewski10
LSep 22 · 24:10A. Myszewski1.9021111692K. Marchlewski1.75117811113WSep 21 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.501111123M. Durda2.4357100WSep 21 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.7491111113J. Przewlocki1.95116541WSep 21 · 20:30A. Myszewski1.701111123M. Kowalczyk2.0067100LSep 21 · 18:55A. Myszewski1.47117371P. Strus2.4001111113WSep 21 · 17:45A. Myszewski1.7411211113J. Przewlocki1.95811471LSep 21 · 16:15A. Myszewski1.7511761172M. Durda1.95911117113WSep 21 · 15:00A. Myszewski1.551171013113K. Marchlewski2.25411121192LSep 16 · 13:55R. Stapor1.5781111113A. Myszewski2.15118621WSep 16 · 13:05A. Szoltysek2.01116391A. Myszewski1.6681111113
M. Kowalczyk10
LSep 21 · 22:35M. Durda1.12911522113M. Kowalczyk6.00116112062WSep 21 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk2.051111113J. Przewlocki1.668660LSep 21 · 21:05K. Marchlewski2.101111113M. Kowalczyk1.656880LSep 21 · 20:30A. Myszewski1.701111123M. Kowalczyk2.0067100LSep 21 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.619870K. Marchlewski2.151111113LSep 21 · 18:10P. Strus2.051111113M. Kowalczyk1.666920LSep 21 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.731111123M. Kowalczyk1.9877100WSep 21 · 15:25M. Durda2.051111971M. Kowalczyk1.6541311113WSep 17 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.76111196113B. Mrugala1.8877111152WSep 17 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.641111113K. Golaszewski2.044970
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