TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Myszewski vs Kacper Marchlewski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
211117118611911
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
211117118611911
H2H Adrian Myszewski 3–1 Kacper Marchlewski Kacper Marchlewski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Myszewski beat Marchlewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Marchlewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Myszewski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1331 vs Marchlewski 1295
Myszewski
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 60% vs Marchlewski 100%
Marchlewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 60% vs Marchlewski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski -1 · Marchlewski +5
Marchlewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Myszewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.90 / Marchlewski 1.75
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Myszewski)+6.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13172778
Myszewski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Marchlewski1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite35% won 17 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it54% 13 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMyszewski3wins
AwayMarchlewski1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderMyszewski leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski100%3 of 3
AwayMarchlewskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski3Marchlewski1n = 4Myszewski took 3 of 4
S2Myszewski2Marchlewski2n = 4split evenly
S3Myszewski3Marchlewski1n = 4Myszewski took 3 of 4
S4Myszewski1Marchlewski2n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
S5Myszewski2Marchlewski1n = 3Myszewski took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMyszewskiMarchlewskiMyszewski − MarchlewskiBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match43.240.8+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 910 vs 149 / 34048.9%43.8%445 / 910 vs 149 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MyszewskiMyszewski 1.90/Marchlewski 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Myszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 21 · 15:00A. Myszewski521171013113K. Marchlewski47411121192
WMay 3 · 14:45A. Myszewski331111113K. Marchlewski209650
LMay 3 · 07:55A. Myszewski4351111882K. Marchlewski51119911113
WMay 2 · 10:40A. Myszewski45115117113K. Marchlewski4591151192
A. Myszewski10
LSep 21 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.608740M. Kowalczyk2.201111113WSep 21 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.501111123M. Durda2.4357100WSep 21 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.7491111113J. Przewlocki1.95116541WSep 21 · 20:30A. Myszewski1.701111123M. Kowalczyk2.0067100LSep 21 · 18:55A. Myszewski1.47117371P. Strus2.4001111113WSep 21 · 17:45A. Myszewski1.7411211113J. Przewlocki1.95811471LSep 21 · 16:15A. Myszewski1.7511761172M. Durda1.95911117113WSep 21 · 15:00A. Myszewski1.551171013113K. Marchlewski2.25411121192LSep 16 · 13:55R. Stapor1.5781111113A. Myszewski2.15118621WSep 16 · 13:05A. Szoltysek2.01116391A. Myszewski1.6681111113
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Durda—7550WSep 21 · 22:55K. Marchlewski1.78911119113J. Przewlocki1.9311731192WSep 21 · 21:05K. Marchlewski2.101111113M. Kowalczyk1.656880WSep 21 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.5010470K. Marchlewski2.401211113WSep 21 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.619870K. Marchlewski2.151111113LSep 21 · 17:20M. Durda1.07411611123K. Marchlewski7.75119119102WSep 21 · 16:35P. Strus1.8013513732K. Marchlewski1.9111111111113LSep 21 · 15:00A. Myszewski1.551171013113K. Marchlewski2.25411121192WSep 13 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.5511812882K. Marchlewski2.207111011113LSep 13 · 22:35A. Linek1.3011118123K. Marchlewski3.108911101
Upcoming Matches
A. Myszewski
Nothing scheduled
K. Marchlewski
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