TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmitriy Kim vs Yaroslav Stepanchuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210117911119––
Yaroslav Stepanchuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Yaroslav Stepanchuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 52–55 Yaroslav Stepanchuk Dmitriy Kim has won 52 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:55What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-55 in 107
Stepanchuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1569 vs Stepanchuk 1543
Kim
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 40% vs Stepanchuk 100%
Stepanchuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 50% vs Stepanchuk 80%
Stepanchuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim -1 · Stepanchuk +6
Stepanchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepanchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.80 / Stepanchuk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kim)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13168533
Kim1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 71 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Stepanchuk1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog35% won 37 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim6wins
AwayStepanchuk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim83.3%5 of 6
AwayStepanchuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim6Stepanchuk4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S2Kim6Stepanchuk4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Kim6Stepanchuk4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Kim4Stepanchuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Kim2Stepanchuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimStepanchukK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.8+1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimStepanchukBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 1008 vs 298 / 61648.8%48.4%492 / 1008 vs 298 / 616Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.80/Stepanchuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 02:05D. Kim33713491Y. Stepanchuk44111111113
LSep 10 · 03:35D. Kim31571181Y. Stepanchuk4111118113
WSep 6 · 22:35D. Kim3611113113Y. Stepanchuk34861191
WAug 31 · 03:05D. Kim521110119113Y. Stepanchuk4481271162
LAug 26 · 23:05D. Kim4611891172Y. Stepanchuk49711119113
WAug 19 · 15:55D. Kim331111113Y. Stepanchuk218670
LAug 17 · 01:05D. Kim4261111772Y. Stepanchuk49119711113
WAug 14 · 24:35D. Kim4112117113Y. Stepanchuk321081131
WAug 10 · 01:05D. Kim45571111113Y. Stepanchuk4211114972
WAug 5 · 22:35D. Kim331111113Y. Stepanchuk226880
D. Kim10
LSep 22 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.4411711123D. Kim2.638118101WSep 21 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.83119145112D. Kim1.838111211133WSep 21 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801141341D. Kim1.9191115113LSep 21 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011911113D. Kim1.91811661LSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim1.7311611882D. Us2.00511611113LSep 21 · 24:35M. Skliar2.5011136133D. Kim1.5091111111WSep 20 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.839940D. Kim1.831111113WSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113WSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262LSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491
Y. Stepanchuk10
WSep 22 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.918630Y. Stepanchuk1.801111113WSep 21 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi2.007860Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113WSep 21 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.739280Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113WSep 18 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83611421Y. Stepanchuk1.8311611113WSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491WSep 18 · 01:05Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113M. Fomin2.007450LSep 17 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk2.006440H. Kulishov1.731111113LSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153WSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113A. Peretiatko1.737860WSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk1.5711811113A. Lifanov2.25411631
Upcoming Matches
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