TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Khandetskyi vs Yaroslav Stepanchuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811611––––
Yaroslav Stepanchuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Stepanchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Yaroslav Stepanchuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Yaroslav Stepanchuk at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 32–46 Yaroslav Stepanchuk Serhii Khandetskyi has won 32 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:14What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stepanchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-46 in 78
Stepanchuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1490 vs Stepanchuk 1517
Stepanchuk
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Stepanchuk 80%
Stepanchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Stepanchuk 70%
Stepanchuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -2 · Stepanchuk +4
Stepanchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stepanchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepanchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 2.00 / Stepanchuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stepanchuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13168622
Khandetskyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 76 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Stepanchuk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 81 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it66% 53 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi3wins
AwayStepanchuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStepanchuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi37.5%3 of 8
AwayStepanchukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi8Stepanchuk2n = 10Khandetskyi took 8 of 10
S2Khandetskyi3Stepanchuk7n = 10Stepanchuk took 7 of 10
S3Khandetskyi3Stepanchuk7n = 10Stepanchuk took 7 of 10
S4Khandetskyi5Stepanchuk4n = 9Khandetskyi took 5 of 9
S5Khandetskyi0Stepanchuk3n = 3Stepanchuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiStepanchukK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.041.6−3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiStepanchukBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 792 vs 296 / 61449.6%48.2%393 / 792 vs 296 / 614Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepanchukKhandetskyi 2.00/Stepanchuk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Stepanchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stepanchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi41101161132Y. Stepanchuk49129116113
LAug 25 · 15:25S. Khandetskyi371111961Y. Stepanchuk4051311113
LAug 18 · 16:55S. Khandetskyi43126121122Y. Stepanchuk541011148113
WAug 11 · 22:05S. Khandetskyi341111123Y. Stepanchuk2376100
WJul 29 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi45111111123Y. Stepanchuk353913101
LJul 14 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi27741241Y. Stepanchuk43111110113
LJul 3 · 01:25S. Khandetskyi33125791Y. Stepanchuk43101111113
LJun 29 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi48115111472Y. Stepanchuk558111312113
LJun 23 · 17:25S. Khandetskyi32137481Y. Stepanchuk44111111113
WJun 22 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi4011711113Y. Stepanchuk30911731
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 22 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.8315119123S. Khandetskyi1.8313811101LSep 21 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.531111113S. Khandetskyi2.387640LSep 17 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi2.008950D. Kim1.731111113WSep 17 · 01:35S. Khandetskyi1.831111113S. Pitsyk1.838470LSep 17 · 24:05S. Khandetskyi1.618950O. Melashenko2.201111113WSep 16 · 22:35S. Khandetskyi1.8311514123H. Kulishov1.8381112101WSep 16 · 21:05S. Khandetskyi1.7311113113D. Rehotun2.00881191WSep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.0051030S. Khandetskyi1.731112113LSep 15 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.6111741182D. Rehotun2.20611117113LSep 15 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113S. Khandetskyi1.805520
Y. Stepanchuk10
WSep 21 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.739280Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113WSep 18 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83611421Y. Stepanchuk1.8311611113WSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491WSep 18 · 01:05Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113M. Fomin2.007450LSep 17 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk2.006440H. Kulishov1.731111113LSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153WSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113A. Peretiatko1.737860WSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk1.5711811113A. Lifanov2.25411631WSep 16 · 15:55Y. Stepanchuk1.6761113113P. Ishchyk2.101181191LSep 16 · 13:55Y. Stepanchuk1.44118961D. Us2.6361111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.