TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121191181210––
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:24 and never touched — 68.6% is still 68.6%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
68.6%
68.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 83 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 68.6%
83 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 23–39 Rotislav Hasmanda Lubor Sulava has won 23 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Sulava beat Hasmanda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (68%)
Hasmanda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-39 in 62
Hasmanda
Wrong
gap of 16 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1411 vs Hasmanda 1345
Sulava
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 60% vs Hasmanda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 60% vs Hasmanda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava -1 · Hasmanda +3
Hasmanda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hasmanda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 2.80 / Hasmanda 1.33
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hasmanda)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13167434
Sulava2.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 59 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Hasmanda1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 101 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 77 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava2wins
AwayHasmanda8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHasmanda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava25%1 of 4
AwayHasmanda83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava4Hasmanda6n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S2Sulava3Hasmanda7n = 10Hasmanda took 7 of 10
S3Sulava4Hasmanda6n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S4Sulava3Hasmanda3n = 6split evenly
S5Sulava0Hasmanda3n = 3Hasmanda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaHasmandaS − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.439.4−5.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 958 vs 383 / 78149.6%49%475 / 958 vs 383 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaSulava 2.80/Hasmanda 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.6%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 03:30L. Sulava44101111123R. Hasmanda391298101
WSep 20 · 22:30L. Sulava331111113R. Hasmanda248970
LSep 17 · 19:00L. Sulava32681171R. Hasmanda4011117113
LSep 8 · 23:30L. Sulava361110781R. Hasmanda3621211113
LSep 6 · 22:00L. Sulava2310580R. Hasmanda341211113
LAug 28 · 02:00L. Sulava45119111132R. Hasmanda50811137113
LAug 23 · 15:00L. Sulava3953111192R. Hasmanda49111197113
LAug 21 · 23:30L. Sulava196490R. Hasmanda331111113
LAug 11 · 03:30L. Sulava247890R. Hasmanda331111113
LAug 11 · 01:30L. Sulava49111585102R. Hasmanda569131111123
L. Sulava10
LSep 21 · 01:30L. Sulava1.911111711122M. Stefek1.80137116143WSep 21 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.837730L. Sulava1.831111113WSep 20 · 23:30T. Regner1.8381111121L. Sulava1.8311913143WSep 20 · 22:30L. Sulava3.251111113R. Hasmanda1.338970LSep 18 · 21:28V. Kosar1.83119611113L. Sulava1.8341111842WSep 18 · 20:30J. Strnad2.007570L. Sulava1.731111113LSep 18 · 19:30L. Sulava1.73661141V. Kosar2.0011119113WSep 18 · 18:30T. Regner1.8311126872L. Sulava1.839101111113LSep 17 · 21:00L. Sulava1.807118111M. Stefek1.9111211133WSep 17 · 20:00V. Kosar2.10991191L. Sulava1.6711119113
R. Hasmanda10
WSep 21 · 02:00R. Hasmanda1.6112117113J. Pleskot2.201061181WSep 21 · 01:00R. Hasmanda3.503111111113T. Regner1.2811139592WSep 21 · 24:00M. Stefek1.671014115102R. Hasmanda2.101212811123LSep 20 · 22:30L. Sulava3.251111113R. Hasmanda1.338970LSep 17 · 21:30R. Hasmanda2.45911841V. Kosar1.4811811113WSep 17 · 20:30R. Hasmanda2.201211113M. Stefek1.6110450WSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191LSep 17 · 02:30M. Novak1.83411511113R. Hasmanda1.8311911872LSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592
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