TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Roman Horokh
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Roman Horokh at 64.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 34–101 Roman Horokh Serhii Kushnirenko has won 34 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Horokh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-101 in 135
Horokh
Wrong
gap of 67 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1900 vs Horokh 1932
Horokh
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 60% vs Horokh 40%
Kushnirenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 50% vs Horokh 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko +2 · Horokh +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.50 / Horokh 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Horokh)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166336
Kushnirenko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 134 of 401
Down 0–1, comes back18% 44 of 245
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 134
Horokh1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 295 of 440
Up 2–0, closes it96% 160 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it82% 225 of 274
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko7wins
AwayHorokh3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKushnirenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayHorokhn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko8Horokh2n = 10Kushnirenko took 8 of 10
S2Kushnirenko6Horokh4n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S3Kushnirenko8Horokh2n = 10Kushnirenko took 8 of 10
S4Kushnirenko4Horokh3n = 7Kushnirenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.1+2.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 793 vs 690 / 122241.4%56.5%328 / 793 vs 690 / 1222Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKushnirenko 2.50/Horokh 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko331111113R. Horokh229580
WSep 16 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko421219113R. Horokh32101750
LSep 15 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko26711261R. Horokh4111811113
LSep 14 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko42117122102R. Horokh473111011123
LSep 12 · 10:00S. Kushnirenko4061111752R. Horokh51119911113
WSep 12 · 05:30S. Kushnirenko4111712113R. Horokh356111081
WSep 11 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko46141011113R. Horokh391212781
WSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko3511211113R. Horokh31911381
WSep 8 · 17:29S. Kushnirenko331111113R. Horokh225890
WSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko3811115113R. Horokh31771161
S. Kushnirenko10
LSep 21 · 17:29S. Ponomarenko1.02101111113S. Kushnirenko10.50128211WSep 21 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20119119113D. Yurkov1.6191131172WSep 21 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko3.25101111113S. Balabei1.33124491LSep 21 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko11.001211331S. Ponomarenko1.0214711113WSep 19 · 10:34D. Kryshtal1.61911161S. Kushnirenko2.2011811113LSep 19 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko2.2011411462D. Kryshtal1.61611711113LSep 19 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko11.009960S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.916340I. Shyndel1.801111113WSep 19 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko2.0011119123V. Komar1.738811101LSep 18 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.57111011113S. Kushnirenko2.25912451
R. Horokh10
LSep 21 · 16:58S. Balabei1.8312114133R. Horokh1.8310711111WSep 21 · 15:00R. Horokh1.831111113S. Balabei1.835860WSep 21 · 13:30R. Horokh1.611111113D. Yurkov2.208970LSep 21 · 12:00R. Horokh4.501591191S. Ponomarenko1.1717118113LSep 16 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.9111513113R. Horokh1.805111161LSep 16 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.501219113R. Horokh1.50101750WSep 16 · 15:00R. Horokh1.91631111113S. Balabei1.8011115462LSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh1.4411791172D. Kryshtal2.63911116113WSep 16 · 12:00R. Horokh1.141111113S. Kiilo5.004760LSep 15 · 17:28S. Ponomarenko1.171113123R. Horokh4.50911100
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