TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Wojciech Gluszek
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811911––––
Dawid Kotwica
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDawid Kotwica to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
911811911––––
H2H Wojciech Gluszek 25–46 Dawid Kotwica Wojciech Gluszek has won 25 of their 71 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kotwica beat Gluszek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (52%)
Kotwica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-46 in 71
Kotwica
Correct
gap of 21 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gluszek 1113 vs Kotwica 1318
Kotwica
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gluszek 20% vs Kotwica 60%
Kotwica
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gluszek 20% vs Kotwica 70%
Kotwica
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gluszek +1 · Kotwica -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kotwica) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGluszek 1.88 / Kotwica 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kotwica)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13166017
Gluszek1.88
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 115
Kotwica1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it74% 49 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGluszek2wins
AwayKotwica8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKotwica leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGluszek40%2 of 5
AwayKotwica100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gluszek5Kotwica5n = 10split evenly
S2Gluszek2Kotwica8n = 10Kotwica took 8 of 10
S3Gluszek2Kotwica8n = 10Kotwica took 8 of 10
S4Gluszek3Kotwica4n = 7Kotwica took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGluszekKotwicaG − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.339.8−6.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGluszekKotwicaBasisWin rate · lifetime837 / 1780 vs 653 / 157947%41.4%837 / 1780 vs 653 / 1579Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotwicaGluszek 1.88/Kotwica 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Kotwica · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 17:20W. Gluszek2468100D. Kotwica341111123
LSep 19 · 23:20W. Gluszek391361191D. Kotwica46111113113
LSep 19 · 20:30W. Gluszek35118971D. Kotwica4181111113
WSep 12 · 21:05W. Gluszek43111110113D. Kotwica35771291
LSep 12 · 17:20W. Gluszek238870D. Kotwica331111113
LAug 4 · 22:55W. Gluszek4213121161D. Kotwica4815148113
LAug 4 · 20:05W. Gluszek28132761D. Kotwica44111111113
LJul 5 · 19:40W. Gluszek4491161172D. Kotwica49117119113
LJul 4 · 19:20W. Gluszek157620D. Kotwica331111113
WJun 10 · 18:10W. Gluszek4011711113D. Kotwica35811791
W. Gluszek10
WSep 20 · 23:45W. Gluszek3.30111811113P. Krukar1.2191111992WSep 20 · 21:05W. Gluszek3.25811118113K. Kostyk1.2711651182LSep 20 · 20:05P. Krukar1.301111113W. Gluszek3.106760LSep 20 · 19:20A. Mugowski1.5411511113W. Gluszek2.25911781LSep 20 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.831111123W. Gluszek1.8668100LSep 20 · 16:35A. Eliasz1.95141011113W. Gluszek1.741212161LSep 20 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.231191111113W. Gluszek3.1591161362LSep 19 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.90111113113W. Gluszek1.801361191LSep 19 · 22:35P. Staniszewski1.7591114123W. Gluszek1.9011312101LSep 19 · 22:15W. Gluszek1.90125751A. Eliasz1.80101111113
D. Kotwica10
LSep 20 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.27711611113D. Kotwica3.0911511392WSep 20 · 21:30A. Mugowski1.70118111082D. Kotwica2.00511912113WSep 20 · 19:40D. Kotwica1.7151311113A. Eliasz2.001111881LSep 20 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.10661131P. Krukar1.6011118113WSep 20 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.831111123W. Gluszek1.8668100WSep 20 · 16:15K. Kostyk1.29971171D. Kotwica3.3011117113LSep 20 · 15:25D. Kotwica2.10115413112A. Mugowski1.659111111133WSep 20 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.2011411113P. Krukar1.58311981WSep 19 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.90111113113W. Gluszek1.801361191WSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.