TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111311118118––
Adrian Eliasz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
5111311118118––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 28–38 Adrian Eliasz Dawid Kotwica has won 28 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:55What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Kotwica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-38 in 66
Eliasz
Wrong
gap of 10 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1302 vs Eliasz 1245
Kotwica
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 60% vs Eliasz 40%
Kotwica
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 70% vs Eliasz 50%
Kotwica
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica -1 · Eliasz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kotwica) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 1.71 / Eliasz 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kotwica)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163755
Kotwica1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it74% 49 of 66
Eliasz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotwica6wins
AwayEliasz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKotwica leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotwica66.7%4 of 6
AwayEliasz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotwica6Eliasz4n = 10Kotwica took 6 of 10
S2Kotwica7Eliasz3n = 10Kotwica took 7 of 10
S3Kotwica4Eliasz6n = 10Eliasz took 6 of 10
S4Kotwica6Eliasz2n = 8Kotwica took 6 of 8
S5Kotwica1Eliasz2n = 3Eliasz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotwicaEliaszK − EBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.239.0+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 1576 vs 345 / 92041.3%37.5%651 / 1576 vs 345 / 920Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotwicaKotwica 1.71/Eliasz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Kotwica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica33119851A. Eliasz4291111113
LSep 19 · 16:55D. Kotwica51911111192A. Eliasz48116137113
LJul 30 · 23:45D. Kotwica49129511122A. Eliasz531011117143
WJun 14 · 17:25D. Kotwica5011119193A. Eliasz415811171
WMay 31 · 18:35D. Kotwica3411111113A. Eliasz34981161
WMay 24 · 06:35D. Kotwica4181111113A. Eliasz30117571
LApr 18 · 23:50D. Kotwica34981161A. Eliasz4011117113
WApr 18 · 21:30D. Kotwica341111123A. Eliasz2596100
WApr 16 · 15:50D. Kotwica48511912113A. Eliasz45115111082
WApr 2 · 23:20D. Kotwica381115123A. Eliasz32913100
D. Kotwica10
LSep 20 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.10661131P. Krukar1.6011118113WSep 20 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.831111123W. Gluszek1.8668100WSep 20 · 16:15K. Kostyk1.29971171D. Kotwica3.3011117113LSep 20 · 15:25D. Kotwica2.10115413112A. Mugowski1.659111111133WSep 20 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.2011411113P. Krukar1.58311981WSep 19 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.90111113113W. Gluszek1.801361191WSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113WSep 19 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.83118971D. Kotwica1.8381111113WSep 19 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.151111113A. Pilch1.639860
A. Eliasz10
WSep 20 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.3281141192A. Eliasz3.05118119113LSep 20 · 18:10A. Eliasz2.5091141192A. Mugowski1.44118115113WSep 20 · 16:35A. Eliasz1.95141011113W. Gluszek1.741212161LSep 20 · 15:50P. Krukar1.541113113A. Eliasz2.2541160LSep 20 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.8314128123A. Eliasz1.86121011101WSep 20 · 13:30A. Eliasz1.90129115113M. Skorski1.80101181182WSep 20 · 12:15D. Poloszczanski1.839131211112A. Eliasz1.861115106133WSep 20 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.167111191A. Eliasz4.4011136113LSep 20 · 09:25M. Sinicki1.87121111133A. Eliasz1.831478111WSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kotwica
A. Eliasz
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