TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Adrian Eliasz
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210911118511118
Michal Skorski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:26 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1210911118511118
H2H Adrian Eliasz 9–10 Michal Skorski Adrian Eliasz has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skorski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1252 vs Skorski 1295
Skorski
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 60% vs Skorski 40%
Eliasz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 60% vs Skorski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz +1 · Skorski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 1.90 / Skorski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13163097
Eliasz1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Skorski1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 137 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it99% 65 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz6wins
AwaySkorski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderEliasz leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz60%3 of 5
AwaySkorski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz5Skorski5n = 10split evenly
S2Eliasz6Skorski4n = 10Eliasz took 6 of 10
S3Eliasz2Skorski8n = 10Skorski took 8 of 10
S4Eliasz5Skorski4n = 9Eliasz took 5 of 9
S5Eliasz4Skorski1n = 5Eliasz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszSkorskiE − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.941.7+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 914 vs 723 / 149237.4%48.5%342 / 914 vs 723 / 1492Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiEliasz 1.90/Skorski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 23:20A. Eliasz3611105101M. Skorski4491211123
LAug 21 · 21:30A. Eliasz33119581M. Skorski4181111113
WAug 21 · 18:30A. Eliasz4511158113M. Skorski386131181
LAug 18 · 22:55A. Eliasz4181111562M. Skorski47115911113
LAug 18 · 20:05A. Eliasz187470M. Skorski331111113
WAug 3 · 22:55A. Eliasz48117811113M. Skorski4371111952
WAug 3 · 15:50A. Eliasz598111415113M. Skorski55116161392
WJul 29 · 23:45A. Eliasz518111011113M. Skorski4511912582
WJul 29 · 17:45A. Eliasz46111167113M. Skorski3864111162
WJul 24 · 18:55A. Eliasz4291111113M. Skorski33117691
A. Eliasz10
WSep 20 · 12:15D. Poloszczanski1.839131211112A. Eliasz1.861115106133WSep 20 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.167111191A. Eliasz4.4011136113LSep 20 · 09:25M. Sinicki1.87121111133A. Eliasz1.831478111LSep 20 · 24:35P. Staniszewski1.57111189133A. Eliasz2.20821111112WSep 19 · 22:55P. Krukar1.73912871A. Eliasz1.98111011113WSep 19 · 22:15W. Gluszek1.90125751A. Eliasz1.80101111113WSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113LSep 19 · 20:05A. Eliasz—11711162A. Pilch—311311113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Mugowski1.5761111113A. Eliasz2.20114891WSep 19 · 17:45W. Gluszek1.786640A. Eliasz1.931111113
M. Skorski10
LSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772WSep 20 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.766780M. Skorski1.901111113LSep 20 · 10:35D. Poloszczanski1.851110128113M. Skorski1.85812101192WSep 20 · 09:00B. Wisniewski1.9551191192M. Skorski1.74119118113LSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski1.8071240J. Rolak1.901114113LSep 20 · 06:30M. Skorski1.80111161172B. Wisniewski1.90135114113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Skorski3.80121111113J. Pruszkowski1.20145461WSep 20 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.76681181M. Skorski1.9011117113WSep 20 · 03:25M. Skorski1.888111211123D. Poloszczanski1.82115147102WSep 18 · 23:20A. Eliasz2.0011105101M. Skorski1.7191211123
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