TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Olav Kosolosky vs Cosmo Schmitt 3-0 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 22Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
1.03
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151210––––
Cosmo Schmitt
Away
10.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:02 and never touched — 70.6% is still 70.6%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
70.6%
70.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Cosmo Schmitt below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 70.6%
57 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.02 (91%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 1998 vs Schmitt 1197
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 801 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 100% vs Schmitt 20%
Kosolosky
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 80% vs Schmitt 20%
Kosolosky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +5 · Schmitt +1
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schmitt form (20%) outperforms what odds imply (10%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 1.02 / Schmitt 10.50
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13165500
Kosolosky1.02
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite94% won 33 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Schmitt10.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog11% won 3 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskySchmittBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 90 vs 10 / 6378.9%15.9%71 / 90 vs 10 / 63Avg sets wonper match2.61.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.430.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyKosolosky 1.02/Schmitt 10.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.1%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosolosky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Kosolosky10
WSep 22 · 06:30O. Kosolosky1.0711119113M. Stefanidis6.50451121WSep 21 · 16:00O. Kosolosky1.1411118113S. Happek5.00851131WSep 21 · 12:30O. Kosolosky1.501111113S. Almeida2.357560WSep 21 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.061111113K. Zimmermann8.008740WSep 21 · 08:30A. Moreno8.506840O. Kosolosky1.051111113LSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352
C. Schmitt10
WSep 21 · 17:00A. Moreno2.105490C. Schmitt1.671111113LSep 21 · 15:30C. Schmitt15.001186131R. Turrini1.0191111153LSep 21 · 13:00C. Schmitt5.00651161K. Zimmermann1.1411119113LSep 21 · 11:30M. Stefanidis1.401111118123C. Schmitt2.75139611102LSep 21 · 09:30S. Happek1.33911212113C. Schmitt3.25116111022LSep 21 · 07:30S. Almeida—1111113C. Schmitt—9850LSep 8 · 07:00S. Almeida1.7511911113C. Schmitt1.95911861WSep 7 · 17:30K. Waltl1.40116651C. Schmitt2.7571111113LSep 7 · 14:30M. Henninger1.0511116113C. Schmitt8.50751171LSep 7 · 13:00V. Senkbeil1.0861211113C. Schmitt7.001110351
Upcoming Matches
O. Kosolosky
C. Schmitt
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