TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 21Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115811113––
Sven Happek
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Sven Happek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 69.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Olav Kosolosky 2–0 Sven Happek Sven Happek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 1996 vs Happek 1261
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 735 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 80% vs Happek 40%
Kosolosky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 80% vs Happek 40%
Kosolosky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +3 · Happek +1
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Happek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 1.14 / Happek 5.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13165508
Kosolosky1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite94% won 29 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Happek5.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog8% won 4 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKosolosky2wins
AwayHappek0wins
Kosolosky leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKosoloskyHappekK − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.020.5+14.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskyHappekBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 88 vs 43 / 16078.4%26.9%69 / 88 vs 43 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.61.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.431.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyKosolosky 1.14/Happek 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosolosky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 28 · 08:30O. Kosolosky331111113S. Happek153570
WJun 18 · 11:00O. Kosolosky371511113S. Happek2613760
O. Kosolosky10
WSep 21 · 12:30O. Kosolosky1.501111113S. Almeida2.357560WSep 21 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.061111113K. Zimmermann8.008740WSep 21 · 08:30A. Moreno8.506840O. Kosolosky1.051111113LSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671
S. Happek10
LSep 21 · 17:30S. Happek3.2555110K. Zimmermann1.331111133WSep 21 · 14:00A. Moreno2.257980S. Happek1.571111113LSep 21 · 12:00S. Happek15.00541591R. Turrini1.01111113113WSep 21 · 09:30S. Happek1.33911212113C. Schmitt3.25116111022LSep 21 · 08:00S. Happek—8880M. Stefanidis—1111113LSep 15 · 07:30S. Happek4.157670J. Loffler1.181111113LSep 14 · 16:30S. Happek15.006670I. Bertrand1.011111113LSep 14 · 14:30S. Happek7.00126361Y. Su1.08101111113LSep 14 · 12:30S. Almeida2.301111123S. Happek1.5576100WSep 14 · 10:30J. Lama1.28115111172S. Happek3.50311813113
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