TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13125588
Played Sep 14Finished
Sven Happek
Home
15.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Irvin Bertrand
Away
1.01
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 94.2% is still 94.2%
Graded at full timeIrvin Bertrand to win
94.2%
94.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSven Happek above · Irvin Bertrand below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Irvin Bertrand at 94.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Sven Happek 0–6 Irvin Bertrand Sven Happek has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.01 (94%)
Bertrand
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Bertrand
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Happek 1237 vs Bertrand 2262
Bertrand
Correct
both rated, 1025 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Happek 40% vs Bertrand 80%
Bertrand
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Happek 30% vs Bertrand 90%
Bertrand
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Happek -2 · Bertrand +3
Bertrand
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 94% — Strong (leans Bertrand)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertrand form (80%) is below what odds imply (99%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHappek 15.00 / Bertrand 1.01
Signal prob.6% / 94%
Edge (Bertrand)+0.5pp
Challenger Series TT · #13125588
Happek15.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog5% won 2 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back3% 1 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Bertrand1.01
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite97% won 62 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 50 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHappek0wins
AwayBertrand6wins
Bertrand leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHappekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBertrand100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Happek0Bertrand6n = 6Bertrand took 6 of 6
S2Happek0Bertrand6n = 6Bertrand took 6 of 6
S3Happek0Bertrand6n = 6Bertrand took 6 of 6
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away6100%
These 6 meetings
MetricHappekBertrandH − BBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match14.533.0−18.5per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHappekBertrandBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 164 vs 99 / 10428.1%95.2%46 / 164 vs 99 / 104Avg sets wonper match1.42.9per matchAvg pointsper match31.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertrandHappek 15.00/Bertrand 1.01
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
94.2%
Bertrand · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertrand won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek155370I. Bertrand331111113
LJun 18 · 16:00S. Happek164480I. Bertrand331111113
LJun 18 · 15:00S. Happek164480I. Bertrand331111113
LNov 25 · 09:45S. Happek111460I. Bertrand331111113
LNov 24 · 11:00S. Happek165560I. Bertrand331111113
LJan 27 · 10:30S. Happek131480I. Bertrand331111113
S. Happek10
LSep 14 · 14:30S. Happek7.00126361Y. Su1.08101111113LSep 14 · 12:30S. Almeida2.301111123S. Happek1.5576100WSep 14 · 10:30J. Lama1.28115111172S. Happek3.50311813113WSep 14 · 09:00S. Happek8.5011611113E. Mendes1.05711691LSep 14 · 07:30S. Happek2.058111261T. Saltzer1.6811914113LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113
I. Bertrand10
WSep 14 · 15:00J. Lama11.0010640I. Bertrand1.021211113WSep 14 · 13:30I. Bertrand1.141011118113E. Mendes5.0012551182WSep 14 · 11:30I. Bertrand1.1881111113T. Saltzer4.15113271LSep 14 · 10:00I. Bertrand1.409760Y. Su2.751111113WSep 14 · 08:00J. Loffler2.5511126952I. Bertrand1.428101111113WJul 17 · 10:59I. Bertrand1.1411116113M. Danzer5.00151171WJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340WJul 17 · 07:30D. Zech10.50661161I. Bertrand1.0211118113WJul 16 · 17:30I. Bertrand—1111113M. Stefanidis—9240WJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek10.505370I. Bertrand1.021111113
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