Sven Happek vs Yu-Lun Su 1-3 — Challenger Series TT

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTMatch #13127636

Played Sep 14Finished

Sven Happek

Home

7.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1210611311611––

Yu-Lun Su

Away

1.08

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Yu-Lun Su to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingSven Happek above · Yu-Lun Su below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 3-11

Set 4 · 6-11

Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Yu-Lun Su at 54.0%

70 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 04:12

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.08 (87%)

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Form (L5)

Happek 40% vs Su 80%

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Happek 30% vs Su 50%

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Happek -1 · Su +4

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Su) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Su form (80%) is below what odds imply (92%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHappek 7.00 / Su 1.08

Signal prob.13% / 87%

Edge (Su)-0.0pp

Challenger Series TT · #13127636

Happek7.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog5% won 2 of 43

Down 0–1, comes back3% 1 of 37

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32

Su1.08

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

86%takes the first set · 6 of 7

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricHappekSuBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 163 vs 4 / 828.2%50%46 / 163 vs 4 / 8Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Happek 7.00/Su 1.08

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

86.6%

Su · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Su won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

S. Happek10