TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3118111012––––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Kolesnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 55 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Petr Kolesnik at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 1–1 Petr Kolesnik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolesnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1319 vs Kolesnik 1521
Kolesnik
Correct
both rated, 202 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Kolesnik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 40% vs Kolesnik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -1 · Kolesnik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 2.25 / Kolesnik 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kolesnik)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161128
Priadko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 4 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Kolesnik1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 74 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it84% 58 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePriadko1wins
AwayKolesnik1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricPriadkoKolesnikP − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match39.040.5−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 40 vs 183 / 33032.5%55.5%13 / 40 vs 183 / 330Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnikPriadko 2.25/Kolesnik 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Kolesnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 2 · 06:30N. Priadko228770P. Kolesnik331111113
WSep 1 · 16:00N. Priadko5612111111113P. Kolesnik4814951372
N. Priadko10
LSep 20 · 08:00D. Tsys1.281111113N. Priadko3.507750WSep 20 · 07:00S. Sideltsev1.44681111132N. Priadko2.63111174153LSep 20 · 05:30O. Torianyk1.251112113N. Priadko3.7531090LSep 18 · 10:33N. Priadko1.911131071M. Pohorilyi1.8081112113WSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113LSep 18 · 07:30N. Priadko2.25111310111P. Shulhachyk1.5771512133WSep 18 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.36711811102N. Priadko3.00118118123WSep 18 · 05:30N. Priadko1.36111311113S. Honcharenko3.007111381LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.401111113N. Priadko2.758980LSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko1.8065111182P. Shulhachyk1.91111183113
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 20 · 07:30O. Torianyk1.441111113P. Kolesnik2.638880LSep 20 · 06:00S. Sideltsev1.57121108113P. Kolesnik2.25109111192WSep 20 · 05:00D. Tsys1.831155101P. Kolesnik1.8391111123LSep 19 · 17:35M. Levytskii1.50118118113P. Kolesnik2.50911811102WSep 19 · 16:30P. Kolesnik2.0081111113D. Tsys1.73113581LSep 19 · 15:30P. Kolesnik2.5011611842M. Levytskii1.50611911113WSep 19 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.36111112I. Dubinin3.007510LSep 19 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2.6391111962O. Torianyk1.44118711113LSep 13 · 10:39P. Kolesnik1.831181051O. Tiutiunnyk1.8371112113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113
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