TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139397
Played Sep 16Finished
Simon Matousch
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111311711411611
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeSimon Matousch to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSimon Matousch above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 98 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Simon Matousch at 58.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Simon Matousch 1–1 Tomas Barsa Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:37What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Barsa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Matousch 1361 vs Barsa 1531
Barsa
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matousch 60% vs Barsa 20%
Matousch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matousch 30% vs Barsa 50%
Barsa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matousch -1 · Barsa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Barsa) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barsa form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatousch 2.75 / Barsa 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Barsa)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13139397
Matousch2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 20 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Barsa1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 62 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it69% 42 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMatousch1wins
AwayBarsa1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMatouschBarsaM − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.039.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatouschBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 343 vs 95 / 17047.2%55.9%162 / 343 vs 95 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.140.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaMatousch 2.75/Barsa 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Barsa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMay 1 · 21:55S. Matousch45811114113T. Barsa3611531162
LMay 1 · 19:20S. Matousch29114861T. Barsa4291111113
S. Matousch10
LSep 16 · 19:20S. Matousch1.6711911882Z. Vyskocil2.10611611113LSep 14 · 22:00S. Matousch1.9013871182L. Vich1.801111117113WSep 14 · 20:20P. Cibik1.676760S. Matousch2.101111113WSep 14 · 19:50L. Vich1.618570S. Matousch2.201111113WSep 14 · 18:50S. Matousch1.7311713113Z. Vyskocil2.005111191LSep 9 · 17:20M. Cesak1.571411133S. Matousch2.25128110LSep 9 · 16:20S. Matousch2.7578100M. Cesak1.401111123LSep 9 · 15:20S. Matousch1.8082131142Z. Dusek1.911111119113LSep 9 · 14:20S. Matousch1.9171111942P. Cibik1.80119911113LSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530
T. Barsa10
WSep 16 · 19:50T. Barsa1.50121014113P. Cibik2.5010121291LSep 10 · 22:05T. Barsa1.73105111232Z. Vyskocil2.001211310113WSep 10 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.38127111162T. Barsa1.53141154113LSep 10 · 20:25T. Barsa1.57211151M. Juhasz2.2511611113LSep 10 · 18:55T. Jr2.10611211113T. Barsa1.6711711382LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581
Upcoming Matches
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T. Barsa
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