TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13134490
Played Sep 15Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111012––––
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12
61 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 73–185 Nazar Danyliuk Vasily Verbyany has won 73 of their 258 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Verbyany form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 2.20 / Danyliuk 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13134490
Verbyany2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 93 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Danyliuk1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 173 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it94% 85 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it82% 129 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany3wins
AwayDanyliuk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany66.7%2 of 3
AwayDanyliuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S2Verbyany5Danyliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Verbyany4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S4Verbyany1Danyliuk5n = 6Danyliuk took 5 of 6
S5Verbyany2Danyliuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyDanyliukV − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.037.5−4.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 803 vs 599 / 97642.1%61.4%338 / 803 vs 599 / 976Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukVerbyany 2.20/Danyliuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany518101111113N. Danyliuk3011125112
LSep 14 · 14:25V. Verbyany379121241N. Danyliuk46111014113
LSep 13 · 21:45V. Verbyany2110830N. Danyliuk341211113
LSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany47511119112N. Danyliuk50118711133
LSep 8 · 07:05V. Verbyany3411117232N. Danyliuk50981111113
WSep 7 · 14:35V. Verbyany331111113N. Danyliuk101720
LSep 6 · 21:30V. Verbyany187740N. Danyliuk331111113
WSep 4 · 05:55V. Verbyany46114119113N. Danyliuk4781191182
LSep 3 · 17:09V. Verbyany146440N. Danyliuk331111113
LSep 3 · 13:55V. Verbyany29511581N. Danyliuk4211911113
V. Verbyany10
WSep 15 · 07:55B. Kohut2.2046111182V. Verbyany1.61111194113WSep 15 · 06:55V. Verbyany2.2511711123A. Molochko1.578117101LSep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.506860WSep 15 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.67119118113D. Zeniuk2.1091121182WSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany2.208101111113N. Danyliuk1.6111125112WSep 14 · 15:55D. Zeniuk2.10411491V. Verbyany1.6711911113LSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241WSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut2.00111312182V. Verbyany1.733111411113WSep 14 · 11:55A. Molochko1.615460V. Verbyany2.201111113LSep 14 · 01:19V. Verbyany3.256920A. Molochko1.331111113
N. Danyliuk10
LSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3.5011413113N. Danyliuk1.288111171WSep 15 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.301011119113D. Zeniuk3.4012741192WSep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.506860WSep 15 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.7331111113A. Molochko2.00118961LSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany2.208101111113N. Danyliuk1.6111125112WSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut3.50841111112N. Danyliuk1.28111174133WSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241WSep 14 · 13:25A. Molochko2.001010100N. Danyliuk1.731212123WSep 14 · 12:25N. Danyliuk1.25169612113D. Zeniuk3.751411111062WSep 14 · 01:43D. Zeniuk3.7511890N. Danyliuk1.251311113
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