Vasily Verbyany vs Nazar Danyliuk 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13130360

Played Sep 14Finished

Vasily Verbyany

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

8111012115111111

Nazar Danyliuk

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 10

Form at publish

10–0Last 10Won last 10

How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Nazar Danyliuk below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-1

Set 5 · 11-1

Point 81 set 5, 11-1

81 points played in total.

H2H Vasily Verbyany 72–185 Nazar Danyliuk Vasily Verbyany has won 72 of their 257 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Danyliuk beat Verbyany 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Danyliuk)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Danyliuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVerbyany 2.20 / Danyliuk 1.61

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp

Setka Cup · #13130360

Verbyany2.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 91 of 240

Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 139

Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 75

Danyliuk1.61

100%won 10 of 10 · last 10

Won last 10

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite63% won 169 of 269

Up 2–0, closes it95% 83 of 87

Up 1–0, closes it82% 125 of 153

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVerbyany2wins

AwayDanyliuk8wins

4 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVerbyany66.7%2 of 3

AwayDanyliuk100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Verbyany3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10

S2Verbyany6Danyliuk4n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10

S3Verbyany3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10

S4Verbyany1Danyliuk5n = 6Danyliuk took 5 of 6

S5Verbyany1Danyliuk3n = 4Danyliuk took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricVerbyanyDanyliukV − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.139.2−7.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVerbyanyDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 798 vs 598 / 97641.9%61.3%334 / 798 vs 598 / 976Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Danyliuk

Verbyany 2.20/Danyliuk 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

62.1%

Danyliuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Verbyany won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 14 · 14:25V. Verbyany379121241N. Danyliuk46111014113

LSep 13 · 21:45V. Verbyany2110830N. Danyliuk341211113

LSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany47511119112N. Danyliuk50118711133

LSep 8 · 07:05V. Verbyany3411117232N. Danyliuk50981111113

WSep 7 · 14:35V. Verbyany331111113N. Danyliuk101720

LSep 6 · 21:30V. Verbyany187740N. Danyliuk331111113

WSep 4 · 05:55V. Verbyany46114119113N. Danyliuk4781191182

LSep 3 · 17:09V. Verbyany146440N. Danyliuk331111113

LSep 3 · 13:55V. Verbyany29511581N. Danyliuk4211911113

LAug 31 · 14:35V. Verbyany42411611102N. Danyliuk47117116123

V. Verbyany10

WSep 14 · 15:55D. Zeniuk2.10411491V. Verbyany1.6711911113 LSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241 WSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut2.00111312182V. Verbyany1.733111411113 WSep 14 · 11:55A. Molochko1.615460V. Verbyany2.201111113 LSep 14 · 01:19V. Verbyany3.256920A. Molochko1.331111113 WSep 13 · 23:45A. Molochko1.44811511V. Verbyany2.6311811113 LSep 13 · 22:45V. Verbyany1.611011101172D. Zeniuk2.20126126113 LSep 13 · 21:45N. Danyliuk1.531211113V. Verbyany2.3810830 WSep 13 · 20:45V. Verbyany1.801112113B. Kohut1.9161060 LSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany2.38511119112N. Danyliuk1.53118711133

N. Danyliuk10

WSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut3.50841111112N. Danyliuk1.28111174133 WSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241 WSep 14 · 13:25A. Molochko2.001010100N. Danyliuk1.731212123 WSep 14 · 12:25N. Danyliuk1.25169612113D. Zeniuk3.751411111062 WSep 14 · 01:43D. Zeniuk3.7511890N. Danyliuk1.251311113 WSep 14 · 24:45A. Molochko2.101253121N. Danyliuk1.67101111143 WSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk1.281111113B. Kohut3.508920 WSep 13 · 21:45N. Danyliuk1.531211113V. Verbyany2.3810830 WSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682 WSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany2.38511119112N. Danyliuk1.53118711133

Upcoming Matches

V. Verbyany

Sep 15 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.73D. Zeniuk2.00—Sep 15 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.50N. Danyliuk1.50—Sep 15 · 06:55V. Verbyany2.25A. Molochko1.57—Sep 15 · 07:55V. Verbyany1.73B. Kohut2.00—

N. Danyliuk

Sep 15 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.83A. Molochko1.83—Sep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.50V. Verbyany2.50—Sep 15 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.25D. Zeniuk3.75—Sep 15 · 08:55N. Danyliuk1.28B. Kohut3.50—

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Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

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Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

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