TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126398
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Zeniuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411119411911––
Vasily Verbyany
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Vasily Verbyany below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 58.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 36–52 Vasily Verbyany Dmytro Zeniuk has won 36 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Verbyany
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-52 in 88
Verbyany
Correct
gap of 16 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1997 vs Verbyany 2027
Verbyany
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 40% vs Verbyany 60%
Verbyany
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 60% vs Verbyany 40%
Zeniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk +1 · Verbyany -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Verbyany) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 2.10 / Verbyany 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Verbyany)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126398
Zeniuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 41 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Verbyany1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it73% 35 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk6wins
AwayVerbyany4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk80%4 of 5
AwayVerbyany60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk5Verbyany5n = 10split evenly
S2Zeniuk7Verbyany3n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S3Zeniuk6Verbyany4n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Zeniuk3Verbyany6n = 9Verbyany took 6 of 9
S5Zeniuk3Verbyany2n = 5Zeniuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukVerbyanyZ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.3+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 725 vs 333 / 79750.8%41.8%368 / 725 vs 333 / 797Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerbyanyZeniuk 2.10/Verbyany 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Verbyany · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Verbyany won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 22:45D. Zeniuk47126126113V. Verbyany491011101172
WSep 11 · 08:55D. Zeniuk4011511133V. Verbyany313116111
LSep 8 · 11:05D. Zeniuk368117101V. Verbyany4111711123
LSep 7 · 13:05D. Zeniuk4010111181V. Verbyany4112513113
WSep 6 · 22:30D. Zeniuk4611911153V. Verbyany397118131
WSep 4 · 04:55D. Zeniuk45311119113V. Verbyany4111481172
LSep 3 · 16:25D. Zeniuk44111161152V. Verbyany50961113113
WAug 31 · 18:35D. Zeniuk50911811113V. Verbyany4911911992
LAug 31 · 02:30D. Zeniuk4041111682V. Verbyany44118311113
WAug 25 · 08:35D. Zeniuk331111113V. Verbyany183960
D. Zeniuk10
WSep 14 · 14:55A. Molochko1.809860D. Zeniuk1.911111113LSep 14 · 13:55B. Kohut1.731211113D. Zeniuk2.0010690LSep 14 · 12:25N. Danyliuk1.25169612113D. Zeniuk3.751411111062LSep 14 · 01:43D. Zeniuk3.7511890N. Danyliuk1.251311113WSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut1.804111081D. Zeniuk1.9111812113WSep 13 · 22:45V. Verbyany1.611011101172D. Zeniuk2.20126126113WSep 13 · 21:15A. Molochko1.7385111182D. Zeniuk2.00111155113LSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682WSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450WSep 11 · 08:55D. Zeniuk2.0011511133V. Verbyany1.733116111
V. Verbyany10
LSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241WSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut2.00111312182V. Verbyany1.733111411113WSep 14 · 11:55A. Molochko1.615460V. Verbyany2.201111113LSep 14 · 01:19V. Verbyany3.256920A. Molochko1.331111113WSep 13 · 23:45A. Molochko1.44811511V. Verbyany2.6311811113LSep 13 · 22:45V. Verbyany1.611011101172D. Zeniuk2.20126126113LSep 13 · 21:45N. Danyliuk1.531211113V. Verbyany2.3810830WSep 13 · 20:45V. Verbyany1.801112113B. Kohut1.9161060LSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany2.38511119112N. Danyliuk1.53118711133LSep 11 · 08:55D. Zeniuk2.0011511133V. Verbyany1.733116111
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