TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130517
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Zeniuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412118115––––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 61 set 3, 11-5
61 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 19–31 Bohdan Kohut Dmytro Zeniuk has won 19 of their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kohut beat Zeniuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kohut)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 2.10 / Kohut 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kohut)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13130517
Zeniuk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 41 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Kohut1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 34 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk5wins
AwayKohut5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk75%3 of 4
AwayKohut66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Zeniuk4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S3Zeniuk4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S4Zeniuk5Kohut1n = 6Zeniuk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukKohutZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.735.4+1.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 726 vs 289 / 65550.7%44.1%368 / 726 vs 289 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutZeniuk 2.10/Kohut 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 13:55D. Zeniuk2510690B. Kohut341211113
WSep 14 · 24:15D. Zeniuk4211812113B. Kohut334111081
LSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk229670B. Kohut331111113
WSep 8 · 06:35D. Zeniuk4071111113B. Kohut30117571
WSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk3811115113B. Kohut25571121
WAug 30 · 22:00D. Zeniuk351111133B. Kohut2696110
WAug 25 · 05:35D. Zeniuk521071311113B. Kohut47121111582
LAug 24 · 14:05D. Zeniuk4311118131B. Kohut4231311153
LAug 21 · 06:25D. Zeniuk239860B. Kohut331111113
LAug 20 · 16:25D. Zeniuk47911101162B. Kohut51118129113
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 14 · 15:55D. Zeniuk2.10411491V. Verbyany1.6711911113WSep 14 · 14:55A. Molochko1.809860D. Zeniuk1.911111113LSep 14 · 13:55B. Kohut1.731211113D. Zeniuk2.0010690LSep 14 · 12:25N. Danyliuk1.25169612113D. Zeniuk3.751411111062LSep 14 · 01:43D. Zeniuk3.7511890N. Danyliuk1.251311113WSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut1.804111081D. Zeniuk1.9111812113WSep 13 · 22:45V. Verbyany1.611011101172D. Zeniuk2.20126126113WSep 13 · 21:15A. Molochko1.7385111182D. Zeniuk2.00111155113LSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682WSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450
B. Kohut10
LSep 14 · 16:25B. Kohut2.631811111182A. Molochko1.44201369113LSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut3.50841111112N. Danyliuk1.28111174133WSep 14 · 13:55B. Kohut1.731211113D. Zeniuk2.0010690LSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut2.00111312182V. Verbyany1.733111411113LSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut1.804111081D. Zeniuk1.9111812113LSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk1.281111113B. Kohut3.508920LSep 13 · 22:15A. Molochko1.44111110113B. Kohut2.63871281LSep 13 · 20:45V. Verbyany1.801112113B. Kohut1.9161060WSep 11 · 11:25O. Bondarchuk2.501412771B. Kohut1.50121411113WSep 11 · 09:55B. Kohut3.401112113N. Danyliuk1.3081080
Upcoming Matches
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