TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077707
Played Sep 5Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811114911116
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 58.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 0–2 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Jacek Wieczerzak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1519 vs Wojtaszczyk 1398
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 60% vs Wojtaszczyk 40%
Wieczerzak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -1 · Wojtaszczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 2.25 / Wojtaszczyk 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13077707
Wieczerzak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 35 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Wojtaszczyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 364 of 524
Up 2–0, closes it97% 196 of 203
Up 1–0, closes it84% 284 of 337
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWieczerzak0wins
AwayWojtaszczyk2wins
Wojtaszczyk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricWieczerzakWojtaszczykWieczerzak − WojtaszczykBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match30.538.0−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 237 vs 529 / 78654%67.3%128 / 237 vs 529 / 786Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykWieczerzak 2.25/Wojtaszczyk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 19 · 14:45J. Wieczerzak—10870W. Wojtaszczyk—1211113
LJul 19 · 11:05J. Wieczerzak—6111181W. Wojtaszczyk—11713113
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142WSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123LSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.60108100W. Wojtaszczyk1.441211123LSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101LSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111WSep 5 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.257101111132W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111279153
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