TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070593
Played Sep 3Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.37
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117611711119119
Michal Lysakowski
Away
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
117611711119119
H2H Szymon Radlo 44–52 Michal Lysakowski Szymon Radlo has won 44 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Lysakowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-52 in 96
Lysakowski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1626 vs Lysakowski 1657
Lysakowski
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 80% vs Lysakowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 70% vs Lysakowski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo +2 · Lysakowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.37 / Lysakowski 1.52
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Lysakowski)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13070593
Radlo2.37
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 182 of 355
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 100
Lysakowski1.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 189 of 353
Up 2–0, closes it90% 122 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it74% 162 of 220
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo4wins
AwayLysakowski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo75%3 of 4
AwayLysakowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo4Lysakowski6n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S2Radlo3Lysakowski7n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S3Radlo6Lysakowski4n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S4Radlo3Lysakowski6n = 9Lysakowski took 6 of 9
S5Radlo2Lysakowski1n = 3Radlo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloLysakowskiR − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.242.3−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 695 vs 639 / 131450.7%48.6%352 / 695 vs 639 / 1314Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiRadlo 2.37/Lysakowski 1.52
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 11:30S. Radlo—1110119113M. Lysakowski—31251192
WAug 30 · 20:05S. Radlo—1111158113M. Lysakowski—99171162
LAug 28 · 12:40S. Radlo—1010100M. Lysakowski—1212123
LAug 28 · 09:30S. Radlo—1191161M. Lysakowski—13118113
LAug 25 · 05:00S. Radlo—1151181M. Lysakowski—71113113
LAug 18 · 10:00S. Radlo—48111272M. Lysakowski—1111310113
WAug 17 · 09:30S. Radlo—111111133M. Lysakowski—1399111
LAug 16 · 19:05S. Radlo—811761M. Lysakowski—11911113
WAug 14 · 06:00S. Radlo—121111113M. Lysakowski—1013851
LAug 13 · 13:40S. Radlo—1191161M. Lysakowski—13119113
S. Radlo10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290WSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:35S. Radlo1.90129681B. Molka1.76101111113WSep 5 · 06:35S. Radlo1.671411113S. Wloszek2.0012990LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113WSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192WSep 4 · 07:00M. Lysakowski2.101113113M. Stepien1.6581180WSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113WSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111LSep 3 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko1.6011711113M. Lysakowski2.10711411
Upcoming Matches
S. Radlo1 of 2 neutral
M. Lysakowski1 of 2 neutral
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