TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13039635
Played Aug 29Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1179111131210––
Rafal Glica
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:28 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Rafal Glica below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 74 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 60.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 1–0 Rafal Glica Rafal Glica has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:28What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1510 vs Glica 1488
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 60% vs Glica 80%
Glica
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 60% vs Glica 80%
Glica
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +1 · Glica -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glica form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.50 / Glica 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Cichocki)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13039635
Cichocki1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Glica2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCichocki1wins
AwayGlica0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderCichocki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCichockiGlicaC − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.044.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiGlicaBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 161 vs 68 / 15161.5%45%99 / 161 vs 68 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.50/Glica 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 29 · 06:05A. Cichocki49711911113R. Glica4411911942
A. Cichocki10
WSep 13 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.4011611113Z. Sobkow2.75711881WSep 13 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.50101411113M. Lach2.501212451WSep 13 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.611112113J. Wieczerzak2.2061080LSep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.50111111113A. Cichocki1.50136941LSep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.40741191W. Wojtaszczyk2.7511119113WSep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.501111113S. Szostok2.507880WSep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.571711113M. Lach2.2515740WSep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.671512116113J. Wieczerzak2.10171091182WSep 13 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.7511611952A. Cichocki1.40511311113WSep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.57101111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.25123541
R. Glica10
WAug 30 · 16:40R. Glica1.701111113R. Adach2.005960LAug 30 · 15:05P. Jedrzejak1.39113116113R. Glica2.7031191192LAug 30 · 14:20O. Vincenec2.3512119133R. Glica1.5010811111LAug 30 · 13:30R. Glica2.001115111282O. Jadach1.711317810113WAug 30 · 12:20R. Glica2.20891112113M. Oracz1.57111141072WAug 30 · 10:40R. Glica1.9071111113R. Adach1.75117551LAug 30 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.481111113R. Glica2.434850LAug 30 · 08:20M. Oracz1.771111113R. Glica1.915690WAug 30 · 07:30R. Glica1.9011118113O. Jadach1.80831171LAug 30 · 06:20R. Glica1.5088100O. Vincenec2.401111123
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