TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047307
Played Aug 30Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101189111311––
Rafal Glica
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
12101189111311––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 2–2 Rafal Glica Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Glica
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1333 vs Glica 1437
Glica
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 60% vs Glica 40%
Vincenec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 60% vs Glica 40%
Vincenec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +2 · Glica -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Glica) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glica form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.35 / Glica 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Glica)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13047307
Vincenec2.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 188 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back24% 70 of 292
Down 0–2, comes back10% 14 of 147
Glica1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite68% won 27 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVincenec2wins
AwayGlica2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec2Glica2n = 4split evenly
S2Vincenec3Glica1n = 4Vincenec took 3 of 4
S3Vincenec1Glica3n = 4Glica took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVincenecGlicaV − GBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match31.035.5−4.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecGlicaBasisWin rate · lifetime626 / 1397 vs 71 / 16044.8%44.4%626 / 1397 vs 71 / 160Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlicaVincenec 2.35/Glica 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Glica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 30 · 14:20O. Vincenec4512119133R. Glica4010811111
WAug 30 · 06:20O. Vincenec341111123R. Glica2688100
LAug 29 · 09:25O. Vincenec28312581R. Glica43111011113
LAug 29 · 03:25O. Vincenec175840R. Glica331111113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381LSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 12:15L. Oracz1.7391090O. Vincenec2.001112113LSep 18 · 11:00W. Urban1.57711811113O. Vincenec2.2511511882LSep 18 · 09:25K. Hetnar1.4071111113O. Vincenec2.75116421LSep 18 · 08:35P. Adamus1.73111110113O. Vincenec2.00861291WSep 18 · 07:20O. Vincenec2.2561311113S. Szostok1.571111851LSep 18 · 06:05J. Pelka1.80115139113O. Vincenec1.91811111192WSep 18 · 04:55W. Urban1.73891391O. Vincenec2.00111111113WSep 18 · 03:25J. Nowak1.73711111092O. Vincenec2.00119812113
R. Glica10
WAug 30 · 16:40R. Glica1.701111113R. Adach2.005960LAug 30 · 15:05P. Jedrzejak1.39113116113R. Glica2.7031191192LAug 30 · 13:30R. Glica2.001115111282O. Jadach1.711317810113WAug 30 · 12:20R. Glica2.20891112113M. Oracz1.57111141072WAug 30 · 10:40R. Glica1.9071111113R. Adach1.75117551LAug 30 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.481111113R. Glica2.434850LAug 30 · 08:20M. Oracz1.771111113R. Glica1.915690WAug 30 · 07:30R. Glica1.9011118113O. Jadach1.80831171LAug 30 · 06:20R. Glica1.5088100O. Vincenec2.401111123LAug 29 · 14:40A. Cichocki1.5011911123R. Glica2.507113101
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
R. Glica
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