TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13046918
Played Aug 30Finished
Rafal Glica
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8119111141210117
Michal Oracz
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Glica to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111141210117
H2H Rafal Glica 1–1 Michal Oracz Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:39What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Glica 1421 vs Oracz 1416
Glica
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glica 40% vs Oracz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glica 50% vs Oracz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glica +1 · Oracz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlica 2.20 / Oracz 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Oracz)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13046918
Glica2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Oracz1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 113 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it78% 91 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGlica1wins
AwayOracz1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricGlicaOraczG − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.538.0−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlicaOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 162 vs 321 / 52344.4%61.4%72 / 162 vs 321 / 523Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczGlica 2.20/Oracz 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Glica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 30 · 12:20R. Glica51891112113M. Oracz43111141072
LAug 30 · 08:20R. Glica205690M. Oracz331111113
R. Glica10
WAug 30 · 16:40R. Glica1.701111113R. Adach2.005960LAug 30 · 15:05P. Jedrzejak1.39113116113R. Glica2.7031191192LAug 30 · 14:20O. Vincenec2.3512119133R. Glica1.5010811111LAug 30 · 13:30R. Glica2.001115111282O. Jadach1.711317810113WAug 30 · 10:40R. Glica1.9071111113R. Adach1.75117551LAug 30 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.481111113R. Glica2.434850LAug 30 · 08:20M. Oracz1.771111113R. Glica1.915690WAug 30 · 07:30R. Glica1.9011118113O. Jadach1.80831171LAug 30 · 06:20R. Glica1.5088100O. Vincenec2.401111123LAug 29 · 14:40A. Cichocki1.5011911123R. Glica2.507113101
M. Oracz10
WSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123WSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133LSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113WSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370LSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.651111113M. Oracz2.035880WSep 13 · 08:20R. Wojcik2.3091040M. Oracz1.521112113WSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580WAug 30 · 08:20M. Oracz1.771111113R. Glica1.915690
Upcoming Matches
R. Glica
Nothing scheduled
M. Oracz
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