TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13017236
Played Aug 26Finished
Kamil Smolka
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111151210811116
Sebastian Juzek
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:32 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeKamil Smolka to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
7111151210811116
H2H Kamil Smolka 45–34 Sebastian Juzek Sebastian Juzek has won 34 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Smolka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-34 in 79
Smolka
Correct
gap of 11 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Smolka 1385 vs Juzek 1345
Smolka
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smolka 20% vs Juzek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smolka 40% vs Juzek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Smolka +1 · Juzek -4
Juzek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Smolka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juzek form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmolka 1.70 / Juzek 1.95
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Smolka)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13017236
Smolka1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it68% 55 of 81
Juzek1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back20% 37 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmolka6wins
AwayJuzek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSmolka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmolka60%3 of 5
AwayJuzek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smolka5Juzek5n = 10split evenly
S2Smolka6Juzek4n = 10Smolka took 6 of 10
S3Smolka6Juzek4n = 10Smolka took 6 of 10
S4Smolka5Juzek5n = 10split evenly
S5Smolka2Juzek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmolkaJuzekS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.040.2+3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmolkaJuzekBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 440 vs 312 / 76151.4%41%226 / 440 vs 312 / 761Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmolkaSmolka 1.70/Juzek 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Smolka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Smolka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 16:30K. Smolka—11711113S. Juzek—511881
WAug 26 · 06:45K. Smolka—711128113S. Juzek—115101162
LAug 19 · 12:45K. Smolka—5611171S. Juzek—11114193
WAug 19 · 10:20K. Smolka—8111011123S. Juzek—113125102
WAug 12 · 16:20K. Smolka—11511113S. Juzek—711481
LAug 12 · 06:45K. Smolka—1111713102S. Juzek—481115123
LAug 5 · 14:20K. Smolka—111168102S. Juzek—881111123
LAug 5 · 06:20K. Smolka—6911121S. Juzek—11118143
WJul 29 · 14:20K. Smolka—101111113S. Juzek—126271
WJul 29 · 06:20K. Smolka—11147113S. Juzek—9121181
K. Smolka10
WAug 26 · 16:30S. Juzek2.25511881K. Smolka1.5711711113LAug 26 · 15:30R. Skotniczny1.431161111113K. Smolka2.5541113662WAug 26 · 14:45K. Smolka1.6611119113R. Gajda2.05961171WAug 26 · 13:10K. Smolka1.78811138113J. Pelka1.93119111152LAug 26 · 12:20K. Adamus1.9891612113K. Smolka1.7311141091LAug 26 · 11:05K. Smolka1.6053111142R. Gajda2.20111174113LAug 26 · 09:30K. Smolka2.458550R. Skotniczny1.491111113LAug 26 · 08:20K. Smolka1.9511991392K. Adamus1.754111111113WAug 26 · 05:30K. Smolka1.8051112143J. Pelka1.9011910121LAug 19 · 16:20K. Smolka2.856111191K. Adamus1.3511139113
S. Juzek10
LSep 2 · 16:20S. Juzek1.858560R. Gajda1.801111113WSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 13:55S. Juzek2.1171311113M. Adamus1.621111941WSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:55S. Juzek1.68591171W. Buczynski2.0111119113WSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 07:55S. Juzek1.8611113113M. Adamus1.83971171WSep 2 · 06:45R. Gajda2.1010460S. Juzek1.671211113LAug 26 · 16:30S. Juzek2.25511881K. Smolka1.5711711113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Juzek2 of 3 neutral
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