TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13004457
Played Aug 25Finished
Michal Malachowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210311115811119
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Malachowski above · Kacper Glazowski below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Michal Malachowski 17–15 Kacper Glazowski Kacper Glazowski has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Glazowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Malachowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Malachowski 1687 vs Glazowski 1803
Glazowski
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malachowski 40% vs Glazowski 80%
Glazowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malachowski 40% vs Glazowski 70%
Glazowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malachowski +1 · Glazowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalachowski 2.00 / Glazowski 1.73
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Glazowski)+8.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13004457
Malachowski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 34 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back18% 5 of 28
Glazowski1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 128 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it98% 60 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 106 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMalachowski5wins
AwayGlazowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMalachowski100%4 of 4
AwayGlazowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Malachowski4Glazowski6n = 10Glazowski took 6 of 10
S2Malachowski5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Malachowski4Glazowski6n = 10Glazowski took 6 of 10
S4Malachowski4Glazowski1n = 5Malachowski took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalachowskiGlazowskiM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.435.9−0.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalachowskiGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 857 vs 503 / 103051.8%48.8%444 / 857 vs 503 / 1030Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiMalachowski 2.00/Glazowski 1.73
Miss
What we said
61.7%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Malachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 4 · 19:25M. Malachowski44111111113K. Glazowski31961331
LDec 12 · 14:10M. Malachowski29411681K. Glazowski3911611113
LDec 12 · 07:10M. Malachowski206680K. Glazowski331111113
WDec 11 · 11:40M. Malachowski361112133K. Glazowski29810110
LDec 11 · 07:10M. Malachowski205780K. Glazowski331111113
WDec 10 · 14:10M. Malachowski361114113K. Glazowski2761290
WNov 21 · 19:15M. Malachowski44111111113K. Glazowski32613851
LOct 22 · 12:45M. Malachowski2811890K. Glazowski351311113
WOct 22 · 08:45M. Malachowski527111013113K. Glazowski49116121192
LOct 21 · 13:35M. Malachowski45612111152K. Glazowski51111469113
M. Malachowski10
LSep 14 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.951110117122J. Kuzmicz1.70712811143WSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113LAug 26 · 24:10M. Malachowski1.80991341K. Kapik1.91111111113WAug 25 · 23:20M. Malachowski1.611111113D. Jadam2.208780LAug 25 · 21:50M. Malachowski2.204920M. Rutkowski1.611111113WAug 25 · 21:25M. Malachowski1.401111113M. Kolek2.755690LAug 25 · 20:30D. Jadam2.20111111113M. Malachowski1.61891381WAug 25 · 18:05M. Sklensky1.448780M. Malachowski2.631111113LAug 25 · 16:55A. Spychala2.00117118113M. Malachowski1.7351151152LAug 25 · 15:25K. Strowski1.5011147123M. Malachowski2.5091211101
K. Glazowski10
WSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113WSep 14 · 03:20A. Sobel3.90116471K. Glazowski1.1871111113LSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192WSep 8 · 18:50K. Kostyk3.751111361K. Glazowski1.2513611113LSep 8 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.5311414582K. Kapik2.388111211113LSep 8 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.73101151162M. Rutkowski2.00128117113WSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.90101111123M. Sklensky1.741279101WSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181
Upcoming Matches
M. Malachowski
Sep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.06K. Glazowski1.60—Sep 14 · 06:50M. Malachowski1.55K. Wisniewski2.15—Sep 14 · 07:40M. Malachowski1.25A. Sobel3.30—Sep 14 · 09:20M. Malachowski1.66K. Kapik2.00—Sep 14 · 10:55M. Malachowski1.81M. Rutkowski1.82—Sep 14 · 12:10M. Malachowski2.04K. Glazowski1.64—Sep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.77G. Poliniewicz1.87—Sep 14 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.96L. Jarocki1.69—
K. Glazowski
Sep 14 · 06:00K. Glazowski1.60M. Malachowski2.06—Sep 14 · 07:15K. Glazowski2.07J. Kuzmicz1.62—Sep 14 · 08:30K. Glazowski1.41K. Wisniewski2.55—Sep 14 · 09:45K. Glazowski1.61M. Rutkowski2.08—Sep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58G. Poliniewicz2.14—Sep 14 · 12:10K. Glazowski1.64M. Malachowski2.04—Sep 14 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.73L. Jarocki1.92—Sep 14 · 13:50K. Glazowski1.50K. Kapik2.31—
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