TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13004455
Played Aug 25Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181191113118––
Michal Malachowski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Michal Malachowski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 82 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 6–7 Michal Malachowski Dawid Jadam has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:10What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Malachowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1679 vs Malachowski 1702
Malachowski
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 20% vs Malachowski 60%
Malachowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 60% vs Malachowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam +1 · Malachowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Malachowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadam form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 2.20 / Malachowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Malachowski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13004455
Jadam2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 76 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 48
Malachowski1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 110 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it73% 82 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam5wins
AwayMalachowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam80%4 of 5
AwayMalachowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam5Malachowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadam6Malachowski4n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S3Jadam3Malachowski7n = 10Malachowski took 7 of 10
S4Jadam3Malachowski5n = 8Malachowski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamMalachowskiJ − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.3−3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 293 vs 445 / 85848.8%51.9%143 / 293 vs 445 / 858Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalachowskiJadam 2.20/Malachowski 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Malachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 22:10D. Jadam42111136113M. Malachowski4779111192
WJul 9 · 24:20D. Jadam4312119113M. Malachowski341081151
LJul 8 · 22:05D. Jadam366911101M. Malachowski4011116123
WJul 8 · 17:40D. Jadam50211815143M. Malachowski531161113122
LJul 4 · 24:20D. Jadam31116771M. Malachowski4181111113
LJul 3 · 22:05D. Jadam197480M. Malachowski331111113
LJul 3 · 18:50D. Jadam3810101171M. Malachowski4212127113
WJun 11 · 24:15D. Jadam4312119113M. Malachowski391091191
LJun 10 · 21:50D. Jadam27911251M. Malachowski4011711113
WJun 10 · 15:30D. Jadam331111113M. Malachowski249690
D. Jadam10
WSep 14 · 24:10D. Jadam2.389111110113M. Rutkowski1.5311551252WSep 13 · 23:20D. Jadam1.8011511113F. Mlynarski1.91811781WSep 13 · 21:50D. Jadam1.50691113113A. Wos2.50111161182WSep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam1.611111113L. Pietraszko2.204850LSep 13 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8391111113D. Jadam1.83115881WSep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam1.6171111113G. Kesik2.20115691WSep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.837380D. Jadam1.831111113WSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:25M. Kolek2.2511914113D. Jadam1.574111291LSep 13 · 24:35D. Jadam1.8311710F. Mlynarski1.831311113
M. Malachowski10
LSep 14 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.951110117122J. Kuzmicz1.70712811143WSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113LAug 26 · 24:10M. Malachowski1.80991341K. Kapik1.91111111113WAug 25 · 23:20M. Malachowski1.611111113D. Jadam2.208780LAug 25 · 21:50M. Malachowski2.204920M. Rutkowski1.611111113WAug 25 · 21:25M. Malachowski1.401111113M. Kolek2.755690WAug 25 · 19:15M. Malachowski2.00123118113K. Glazowski1.73101151192WAug 25 · 18:05M. Sklensky1.448780M. Malachowski2.631111113LAug 25 · 16:55A. Spychala2.00117118113M. Malachowski1.7351151152LAug 25 · 15:25K. Strowski1.5011147123M. Malachowski2.5091211101
Upcoming Matches
D. Jadam
Nothing scheduled
M. Malachowski
Sep 14 · 06:00M. Malachowski2.06K. Glazowski1.60—Sep 14 · 06:50M. Malachowski1.55K. Wisniewski2.15—Sep 14 · 07:40M. Malachowski1.25A. Sobel3.30—Sep 14 · 09:20M. Malachowski1.66K. Kapik2.00—Sep 14 · 10:55M. Malachowski1.81M. Rutkowski1.82—Sep 14 · 12:10M. Malachowski2.04K. Glazowski1.64—Sep 14 · 13:25M. Malachowski1.77G. Poliniewicz1.87—Sep 14 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.96L. Jarocki1.69—
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