TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12447784
Played Aug 17Finished
Jan Kabelka
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1159111151210––
Martin Cvecek
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:50 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Martin Cvecek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 74 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jan Kabelka at 66.3%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:50What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kabelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kabelka 60% vs Cvecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kabelka 60% vs Cvecek 40%
Kabelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kabelka +2 · Cvecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kabelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cvecek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 1.40 / Cvecek 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kabelka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12447784
Kabelka1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 33 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Cvecek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaCvecekBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 240 vs 4 / 1049.2%40%118 / 240 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KabelkaKabelka 1.40/Cvecek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Kabelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kabelka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113
M. Cvecek10
LAug 19 · 21:10R. Hruby1.83611116113M. Cvecek1.8311571182LAug 19 · 20:35M. Cvecek2.38114861R. Hruby1.5381111113LAug 19 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.7311811113M. Cvecek2.00511761LAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:13R. Hruby1.801111113M. Cvecek1.914870LAug 17 · 20:35M. Cvecek1.73113891R. Hruby2.0061111113LAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850WJun 24 · 17:30K. Hons1.83111150M. Cvecek1.831313113WJun 24 · 16:00M. Cvecek1.671111113P. Svoboda2.106480WJun 24 · 15:30L. Pelikan1.83911911102M. Cvecek1.83114116123
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