TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12459751
Played Aug 19Finished
Martin Cvecek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118411811611––
Radek Hruby
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Hruby to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Cvecek above · Radek Hruby below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radek Hruby at 57.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Martin Cvecek 0–2 Radek Hruby Martin Cvecek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hruby
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cvecek 878 vs Hruby 1223
Hruby
Correct
both rated, 345 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cvecek 0% vs Hruby 40%
Hruby
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cvecek 30% vs Hruby 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cvecek -5 · Hruby -2
Cvecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hruby) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hruby form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCvecek 2.38 / Hruby 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hruby)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12459751
Cvecek2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hruby1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite27% won 4 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it50% 4 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCvecek0wins
AwayHruby2wins
Hruby leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricCvecekHrubyC − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match25.036.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCvecekHrubyBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 6 vs 44 / 1210%36.4%0 / 6 vs 44 / 121Avg sets wonper match0.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match25.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrubyCvecek 2.38/Hruby 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Hruby · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hruby won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 17 · 21:13M. Cvecek—4870R. Hruby—1111113
LAug 17 · 20:35M. Cvecek—113891R. Hruby—61111113
M. Cvecek10
LAug 19 · 21:10R. Hruby1.83611116113M. Cvecek1.8311571182LAug 19 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.7311811113M. Cvecek2.00511761LAug 19 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.401111113M. Cvecek2.755980LAug 17 · 21:13R. Hruby1.801111113M. Cvecek1.914870LAug 17 · 20:35M. Cvecek1.73113891R. Hruby2.0061111113LAug 17 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.4011911123M. Cvecek2.755115101LAug 17 · 18:35P. Klusacek1.571211113M. Cvecek2.2510850WJun 24 · 17:30K. Hons1.83111150M. Cvecek1.831313113WJun 24 · 16:00M. Cvecek1.671111113P. Svoboda2.106480WJun 24 · 15:30L. Pelikan1.83911911102M. Cvecek1.83114116123
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881WAug 19 · 21:10R. Hruby1.83611116113M. Cvecek1.8311571182WAug 17 · 21:13R. Hruby1.801111113M. Cvecek1.914870WAug 17 · 20:35M. Cvecek1.73113891R. Hruby2.0061111113
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