TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12424594
Played Aug 13Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911116117––
Mateusz Karpiuk
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:56 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Karpiuk to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
116911116117––
H2H Kamil Delikatny 0–2 Mateusz Karpiuk Kamil Delikatny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Delikatny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1419 vs Karpiuk 1388
Delikatny
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 40% vs Karpiuk 80%
Karpiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 40% vs Karpiuk 80%
Karpiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny -1 · Karpiuk +4
Karpiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Delikatny) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 1.80 / Karpiuk 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Delikatny)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #12424594
Delikatny1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 62 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it86% 48 of 56
Karpiuk1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog48% won 32 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDelikatny0wins
AwayKarpiuk2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKarpiuk leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDelikatnyKarpiukD − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match37.046.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyKarpiukBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 475 vs 81 / 16447.2%49.4%224 / 475 vs 81 / 164Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.640.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DelikatnyDelikatny 1.80/Karpiuk 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Delikatny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Delikatny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 12 · 23:30K. Delikatny—1151161M. Karpiuk—13119113
LAug 12 · 19:10K. Delikatny—41151292M. Karpiuk—1151110113
K. Delikatny10
LSep 8 · 20:20M. Brunner1.901211113K. Delikatny1.8010460LSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 18:20K. Delikatny3.0010650H. Tkaczyk1.331211113LAug 14 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.894790J. Cyndera1.781111113LAug 14 · 03:05A. Staniczek1.9511117113K. Delikatny1.75881161WAug 14 · 02:20W. Stechly2.50512110K. Delikatny1.441114133WAug 14 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.75912128113M. Karpiuk1.901110101172LAug 14 · 24:20K. Delikatny2.069590M. Lewczuk1.661111113LAug 13 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.76115231J. Cyndera1.9091111113LAug 13 · 21:05A. Staniczek1.9511811113K. Delikatny1.74511581
M. Karpiuk10
LSep 8 · 02:00M. Karpiuk3.251081171M. Warzecha1.2612118113LSep 8 · 24:45M. Karpiuk1.80146118112M. Machelski1.911211711133LSep 7 · 23:35M. Karpiuk1.75211961A. Krezel1.9511611113LSep 7 · 22:25J. Michalik1.7311138113M. Karpiuk1.929111181LSep 7 · 21:35M. Karpiuk1.60513581A. Staniczek2.10111111113WSep 7 · 20:00M. Karpiuk1.60511118123D. Maszczynski2.15116411102LSep 7 · 18:45M. Karpiuk2.10671151J. Slawomir1.6011117113LSep 7 · 17:35M. Karpiuk1.8591110111A. Krezel1.8511712133LSep 7 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.181111113M. Karpiuk4.103960LAug 14 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.75912128113M. Karpiuk1.901110101172
Upcoming Matches
K. Delikatny
Sep 8 · 21:05K. Delikatny1.86J. Michalik1.80—Sep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.19A. Barton3.90—Sep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.77M. Brunner1.87—Sep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.69A. Krezel1.96—Sep 9 · 02:20K. Delikatny2.90H. Tkaczyk1.32—Sep 9 · 03:05K. Delikatny1.57M. Machelski2.17—Sep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.19A. Barton3.90—Sep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny—A. Fomin——
M. Karpiuk
Nothing scheduled
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