TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12408472
Played Aug 13Finished
Tsz Tung Su
Home
8.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111210911––
Hina Hayata
Away
1.06
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTsz Tung Su to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTsz Tung Su above · Hina Hayata below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tsz Tung Su at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:23What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Hayata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Su 100% vs Hayata 80%
Su
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Su 80% vs Hayata 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Su +5 · Hayata +1
Su
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hayata form (80%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSu 8.00 / Hayata 1.06
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Hayata)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12408472
Su8.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Hayata1.06
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSuHayataBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 9 / 1080%90%8 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HayataSu 8.00/Hayata 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hayata won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Su10
WAug 11 · 11:10T. Su1.831113113M. Xiao1.8381100WAug 9 · 15:00Y. Huang1.48910111162T. Su2.42111239113WAug 9 · 09:10C. Psihogios4.65811441T. Su1.1311711113WAug 9 · 08:00C. Psihogios5.00811441T. Su1.1411711113LJul 24 · 16:55T. Su3.751061131S. Shibata1.2512117113WJul 23 · 21:25I. Amorim7.008750T. Su1.081111113WMay 7 · 17:10A. Kaufmann1.501011841T. Su2.5012811113WMay 6 · 11:20T. Su1.831311113Y. Peng1.8311940LMay 6 · 09:20T. Su3.0011761172Y. Yeh1.36911116113WMay 4 · 11:30T. Su1.051111113D. Kelly8.507780
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 09:30H. Hayata1.0711117113Y. Yeh7.50331121
Upcoming Matches
T. Su
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H. Hayata
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