TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12295227
Played Jul 24Finished
Tsz Tung Su
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611117311––
Saki Shibata
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeSaki Shibata to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTsz Tung Su above · Saki Shibata below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 71 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Saki Shibata at 75.0%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:31What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shibata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Su 80% vs Shibata 60%
Su
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Su 70% vs Shibata 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Su +3 · Shibata -1
Su
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Shibata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shibata form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSu 3.75 / Shibata 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Shibata)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12295227
Su3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Shibata1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSuShibataBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShibataSu 3.75/Shibata 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Shibata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shibata won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Su10
LAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Su1.831113113M. Xiao1.8381100WAug 9 · 15:00Y. Huang1.48910111162T. Su2.42111239113WAug 9 · 09:10C. Psihogios4.65811441T. Su1.1311711113WAug 9 · 08:00C. Psihogios5.00811441T. Su1.1411711113WJul 23 · 21:25I. Amorim7.008750T. Su1.081111113WMay 7 · 17:10A. Kaufmann1.501011841T. Su2.5012811113WMay 6 · 11:20T. Su1.831311113Y. Peng1.8311940LMay 6 · 09:20T. Su3.0011761172Y. Yeh1.36911116113WMay 4 · 11:30T. Su1.051111113D. Kelly8.507780
S. Shibata10
LJul 25 · 14:00K. Akae2.251113113S. Shibata1.5741140LJun 10 · 15:40S. Fan2.25881111113S. Shibata1.5011116722WJun 10 · 10:20S. Aoki3.509380S. Shibata1.281111113WJun 9 · 18:50X. Ni6.501081131S. Shibata1.1012117113LJun 4 · 18:25J. Yuan3.00119114113S. Shibata1.3641181152WJun 3 · 14:00S. Shibata1.011111113I. Malobabic12.005530WJun 2 · 15:00S. Shibata1.041111113S. Tokic9.003790WJun 1 · 16:45S. Shibata1.171111113H. Wong4.506780LMay 22 · 10:10S. Shibata2.009511111C. Joo1.7311117133WMay 21 · 08:00G. Monfardini7.0011119552S. Shibata1.08971111113
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