TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12382490
Played Aug 9Finished
Constantina Psihogios
Home
4.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117411411––
Tsz Tung Su
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeTsz Tung Su to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingConstantina Psihogios above · Tsz Tung Su below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Tsz Tung Su at 55.6%
67 points played in total.
H2H Constantina Psihogios 0–2 Tsz Tung Su Constantina Psihogios has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (80%)
Su
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Psihogios 40% vs Su 80%
Su
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Psihogios 40% vs Su 70%
Su
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Psihogios -1 · Su +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Su) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Psihogios form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPsihogios 4.65 / Su 1.13
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Su)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12382490
Psihogios4.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Su1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePsihogios0wins
AwaySu2wins
Su leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPsihogiosSuP − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match27.040.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPsihogiosSuBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 7 / 1040%70%4 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.52.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SuPsihogios 4.65/Su 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.4%
Su · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Su won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 9 · 09:10C. Psihogios—811441T. Su—11711113
LAug 9 · 08:00C. Psihogios—811441T. Su—11711113
C. Psihogios10
LAug 9 · 08:00C. Psihogios5.00811441T. Su1.1411711113WAug 8 · 07:00C. Psihogios1.571111113P. Vega2.257890LJun 27 · 19:55C. Psihogios4.339540J. Shao1.201111113WJun 26 · 22:50C. Psihogios1.531111113H. Chen2.387750LMay 1 · 20:10C. Psihogios1.7387120I. Malobabic2.001111143LMay 1 · 13:25C. Psihogios1.371157101C. Carey2.8061111123LMay 1 · 12:05C. Psihogios4.40114961A. Hursey1.1781111113WApr 29 · 18:30F. Bello—31060C. Psihogios—1112113WApr 28 · 16:20C. Psihogios—3A. Erkebaeva—0LFeb 24 · 06:20X. Chen—1111113C. Psihogios—8870
T. Su10
LAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Su1.831113113M. Xiao1.8381100WAug 9 · 15:00Y. Huang1.48910111162T. Su2.42111239113WAug 9 · 08:00C. Psihogios5.00811441T. Su1.1411711113LJul 24 · 16:55T. Su3.751061131S. Shibata1.2512117113WJul 23 · 21:25I. Amorim7.008750T. Su1.081111113WMay 7 · 17:10A. Kaufmann1.501011841T. Su2.5012811113WMay 6 · 11:20T. Su1.831311113Y. Peng1.8311940LMay 6 · 09:20T. Su3.0011761172Y. Yeh1.36911116113WMay 4 · 11:30T. Su1.051111113D. Kelly8.507780
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