TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380152
Played Aug 8Finished
Constantina Psihogios
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Paulina Vega
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:04 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeConstantina Psihogios to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingConstantina Psihogios above · Paulina Vega below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-6
Point 48 set 3, 5-6 — our read held Constantina Psihogios at 58.9%
48 points drawn · the score is 9 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Constantina Psihogios 1–0 Paulina Vega Paulina Vega has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:04What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Psihogios
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Psihogios 20% vs Vega 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Psihogios 40% vs Vega 20%
Psihogios
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Psihogios -1 · Vega -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Psihogios)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vega form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPsihogios 1.57 / Vega 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Psihogios)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380152
Psihogios1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Vega2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePsihogios1wins
AwayVega0wins
Psihogios leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPsihogiosVegaP − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.024.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPsihogiosVegaBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 2 / 1040%20%4 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.41.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PsihogiosPsihogios 1.57/Vega 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Psihogios · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Psihogios won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 8 · 07:00C. Psihogios—1111113P. Vega—7890
C. Psihogios10
LAug 9 · 09:10C. Psihogios4.65811441T. Su1.1311711113LAug 9 · 08:00C. Psihogios5.00811441T. Su1.1411711113LJun 27 · 19:55C. Psihogios4.339540J. Shao1.201111113WJun 26 · 22:50C. Psihogios1.531111113H. Chen2.387750LMay 1 · 20:10C. Psihogios1.7387120I. Malobabic2.001111143LMay 1 · 13:25C. Psihogios1.371157101C. Carey2.8061111123LMay 1 · 12:05C. Psihogios4.40114961A. Hursey1.1781111113WApr 29 · 18:30F. Bello—31060C. Psihogios—1112113WApr 28 · 16:20C. Psihogios—3A. Erkebaeva—0LFeb 24 · 06:20X. Chen—1111113C. Psihogios—8870
P. Vega10
LAug 30 · 15:15L. Imre—1111113P. Vega—8440LAug 30 · 14:45D. Madarasz—121192P. Vega—109111LAug 29 · 17:20B. Zhang—1111113P. Vega—6660LAug 28 · 18:20P. Vega—10340P. Chasselin—1211113LAug 28 · 17:20P. Vega—91171E. Abraamian—116112LAug 27 · 09:45P. Vega5.506040M. Zhang1.131111113WAug 26 · 16:15P. Vega1.6711511123A. Michalak2.106115101LJul 23 · 07:00Y. Yoo1.201111113P. Vega4.338590LJul 10 · 21:15P. Vega4.0088100D. Ortega1.221111123LJun 26 · 19:20K. Wegrzyn1.20111111113P. Vega4.33913761
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