TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12394040
Played Aug 11Finished
Tsz Tung Su
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311110––––
Maria Xiao
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:05 and never touched — 68.6% is still 68.6%
Graded at full timeTsz Tung Su to win
68.6%
68.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTsz Tung Su above · Maria Xiao below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-0
Point 54 set 3, 11-0 — our read held Tsz Tung Su at 68.6%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Xiao
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Su 80% vs Xiao 20%
Su
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Su 80% vs Xiao 30%
Su
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Su +4 · Xiao -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Su) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Xiao form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSu 1.83 / Xiao 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Su)+4.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12394040
Su1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Xiao1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSuXiaoBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 3 / 1070%30%7 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.51.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SuSu 1.83/Xiao 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Su · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Su won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Su10
LAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 9 · 15:00Y. Huang1.48910111162T. Su2.42111239113WAug 9 · 09:10C. Psihogios4.65811441T. Su1.1311711113WAug 9 · 08:00C. Psihogios5.00811441T. Su1.1411711113LJul 24 · 16:55T. Su3.751061131S. Shibata1.2512117113WJul 23 · 21:25I. Amorim7.008750T. Su1.081111113WMay 7 · 17:10A. Kaufmann1.501011841T. Su2.5012811113WMay 6 · 11:20T. Su1.831311113Y. Peng1.8311940LMay 6 · 09:20T. Su3.0011761172Y. Yeh1.36911116113WMay 4 · 11:30T. Su1.051111113D. Kelly8.507780
M. Xiao10
LJun 29 · 01:00M. Xiao3.007770N. Kim1.361111113LJun 9 · 17:05S. Zhu1.281111213M. Xiao3.5099190LJun 5 · 06:00C. Joo1.1711119113M. Xiao4.50881111WJun 4 · 08:00M. Xiao3.751111113S. Polcanova1.252780LMay 23 · 14:40M. Xiao1.8366110H. Goda1.831111133WMay 23 · 13:28M. Xiao2.101111113C. Lutz1.676660LMay 1 · 09:00M. Xiao3.555111091S. Pyon1.2511712113LApr 29 · 17:35N. Bajor1.83131175123M. Xiao1.831151111102WApr 29 · 16:25Z. Wielgos3.409570M. Xiao1.30111183LMar 28 · 16:00E. Abraamian1.83711116113M. Xiao1.8311931172
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