TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12435246
Played Aug 15Finished
Man Kuai
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711115113116311
Hina Hayata
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHina Hayata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMan Kuai above · Hina Hayata below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 3-11
Set 6 · 10-12
Set 7 · 11-8
Point 120 set 7, 11-8 — our read held Hina Hayata at 54.0%
120 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:42What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kuai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kuai 80% vs Hayata 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuai 80% vs Hayata 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuai +3 · Hayata +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kuai) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hayata form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuai 1.36 / Hayata 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kuai)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12435246
Kuai1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Hayata3.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuaiHayataBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 9 / 1080%90%8 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.02.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuaiKuai 1.36/Hayata 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Kuai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuai won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Kuai10
LAug 16 · 10:45M. Wang1.33111111114M. Kuai3.2574780WAug 14 · 16:35M. Kuai1.14111383N. Mittelham5.0051130WAug 13 · 11:10M. Kuai1.06111311113S. Polcanova8.00615891WAug 12 · 18:20M. Kuai1.0211158113E. Zaharia10.506131151LAug 9 · 03:15X. Chen1.671111115114M. Kuai2.108791151WAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 10:40B. Szocs8.007660M. Kuai1.061111113WAug 5 · 02:00M. Batra4.141770M. Kuai1.151111113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Batra4.501770M. Kuai1.171111113LJul 6 · 02:00Y. Sun1.20111191174M. Kuai4.3396115113
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 09:30H. Hayata1.0711117113Y. Yeh7.50331121
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