TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13081374
Played Sep 5Finished
Hina Hayata
Home
1.13
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118511114112––
Adriana Diaz
Away
5.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHina Hayata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHina Hayata above · Adriana Diaz below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-1
Point 60 set 4, 9-1 — our read held Hina Hayata at 54.0%
60 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Hayata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Hayata 80% vs Diaz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hayata 80% vs Diaz 60%
Hayata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hayata +3 · Diaz +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Diaz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHayata 1.13 / Diaz 5.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Hayata)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13081374
Hayata1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Diaz5.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHayataDiazBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 6 / 1080%60%8 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HayataHayata 1.13/Diaz 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hayata won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 09:30H. Hayata1.0711117113Y. Yeh7.50331121
A. Diaz10
WSep 5 · 06:45A. Diaz1.7311118113A. Kaufmann2.00881181WSep 4 · 11:35A. Diaz1.141111113S. Das5.006580WSep 3 · 07:55A. Diaz—6111211113Y. Huang—11914572WSep 3 · 05:00A. Diaz1.206111211113Y. Huang4.3311914572LAug 11 · 17:45A. Diaz2.38531151C. Joo1.5311119113LJun 29 · 01:00A. Diaz4.507750H. Sato1.171111113LJun 20 · 15:00M. Harimoto1.161111113A. Diaz4.408870WJun 20 · 09:00A. Diaz2.051111113S. Winter1.667410WJun 19 · 16:00A. Diaz1.831311113Y. Xu1.8311670LJun 6 · 09:00S. Yokoi1.83551211123A. Diaz1.831111108102
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