TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13077943
Played Sep 5Finished
Adriana Diaz
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118811118––
Annett Kaufmann
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnnett Kaufmann to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdriana Diaz above · Annett Kaufmann below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-8
Point 75 set 4, 10-8 — our read held Annett Kaufmann at 54.0%
75 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Adriana Diaz 1–0 Annett Kaufmann Annett Kaufmann has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Diaz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Diaz 60% vs Kaufmann 80%
Kaufmann
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Diaz 60% vs Kaufmann 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Diaz +3 · Kaufmann +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Diaz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaufmann form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDiaz 1.73 / Kaufmann 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Diaz)+0.3pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13077943
Diaz1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kaufmann2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDiaz1wins
AwayKaufmann0wins
Diaz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDiazKaufmannD − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.035.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDiazKaufmannBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DiazDiaz 1.73/Kaufmann 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Diaz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Diaz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 06:45A. Diaz—11118113A. Kaufmann—881181
A. Diaz10
LSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 4 · 11:35A. Diaz1.141111113S. Das5.006580WSep 3 · 07:55A. Diaz—6111211113Y. Huang—11914572WSep 3 · 05:00A. Diaz1.206111211113Y. Huang4.3311914572LAug 11 · 17:45A. Diaz2.38531151C. Joo1.5311119113LJun 29 · 01:00A. Diaz4.507750H. Sato1.171111113LJun 20 · 15:00M. Harimoto1.161111113A. Diaz4.408870WJun 20 · 09:00A. Diaz2.051111113S. Winter1.667410WJun 19 · 16:00A. Diaz1.831311113Y. Xu1.8311670LJun 6 · 09:00S. Yokoi1.83551211123A. Diaz1.831111108102
A. Kaufmann10
WSep 4 · 06:45M. Panfilova4.5012770A. Kaufmann1.171411113WSep 3 · 07:20Z. Lee—1221491A. Kaufmann—141112113WSep 3 · 05:00Z. Lee4.501221491A. Kaufmann1.17141112113LAug 14 · 17:20A. Kaufmann3.4014101111Y. Chen1.3016129113WAug 13 · 17:45A. Kaufmann1.5011117113E. Samara2.50671171WAug 12 · 18:20Y. Zhu1.1711691472A. Kaufmann4.504111112113LJun 19 · 14:10S. Zhu1.9691511143A. Kaufmann1.7011133121LJun 18 · 04:00S. Zhu2.0091511143A. Kaufmann1.7311133121LJun 11 · 11:55M. Harimoto1.301111113A. Kaufmann3.409730WJun 10 · 16:10A. Sasao2.5268140A. Kaufmann1.401111163
Upcoming Matches
A. Diaz
A. Kaufmann
Nothing scheduled
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