TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12415215
Played Aug 13Finished
Annett Kaufmann
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117711117––
Elizabeta Samara
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeAnnett Kaufmann to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnnett Kaufmann above · Elizabeta Samara below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Annett Kaufmann at 58.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Annett Kaufmann 1–0 Elizabeta Samara Elizabeta Samara has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kaufmann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kaufmann 40% vs Samara 20%
Kaufmann
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaufmann 50% vs Samara 30%
Kaufmann
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaufmann +1 · Samara +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kaufmann) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Samara form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaufmann 1.50 / Samara 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Kaufmann)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12415215
Kaufmann1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Samara2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKaufmann1wins
AwaySamara0wins
Kaufmann leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKaufmannSamaraK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.031.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaufmannSamaraBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 3 / 1050%30%5 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaufmannKaufmann 1.50/Samara 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kaufmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaufmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 13 · 17:45A. Kaufmann—11117113E. Samara—671171
A. Kaufmann10
LSep 5 · 06:45A. Diaz1.7311118113A. Kaufmann2.00881181WSep 4 · 06:45M. Panfilova4.5012770A. Kaufmann1.171411113WSep 3 · 07:20Z. Lee—1221491A. Kaufmann—141112113WSep 3 · 05:00Z. Lee4.501221491A. Kaufmann1.17141112113LAug 14 · 17:20A. Kaufmann3.4014101111Y. Chen1.3016129113WAug 12 · 18:20Y. Zhu1.1711691472A. Kaufmann4.504111112113LJun 19 · 14:10S. Zhu1.9691511143A. Kaufmann1.7011133121LJun 18 · 04:00S. Zhu2.0091511143A. Kaufmann1.7311133121LJun 11 · 11:55M. Harimoto1.301111113A. Kaufmann3.409730WJun 10 · 16:10A. Sasao2.5268140A. Kaufmann1.401111163
E. Samara10
WAug 10 · 17:10A. Dragoman2.10111188122E. Samara1.67451111143LAug 5 · 08:30I. Cheng1.1611119113E. Samara4.02961131LAug 4 · 02:00I. Cheng1.2011119113E. Samara4.33961131LJun 29 · 02:10E. Samara6.00101171492X. Shi1.111281112113LJun 18 · 04:00E. Samara2.637111371S. Polcanova1.4411915113LJun 4 · 08:00E. Samara3.00582291A. Diaz1.36111120113LMay 23 · 09:00E. Samara5.006820C. Joo1.141111113WMay 22 · 10:45E. Samara1.20914314133F. Schreiner4.3311121112112WMay 21 · 16:10E. Samara1.171112113N. Mani4.5081050LMay 9 · 11:30Y. Sun1.011111113E. Samara15.003450
Upcoming Matches
A. Kaufmann
Nothing scheduled
E. Samara
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